The Swamp

Steve of phpBB

Ya know, it has always pissed me off that instead of making an odd number of electors the standard we had to draw up a doomsday scenario in the event of a tie. I'm sure there's a reason behind it, but holy shit. It’s ultimately because they amended the Constitution in 1961 to give DC 3 electoral vo...

Steve of phpBB

So Justin Turner is told he is positive for the most contagious deadly virus in a century, is forced to leave a deciding WS game, then willingly goes out and puts his peers and the press in danger and suffers no consequences. If you're the President then fine, but I like to think we hold our ballpl...

Steve of phpBB

Why is the calling of the election a media decision? Isn't that bizarre? Who else would “call” an election before votes are certified everywhere, which takes a couple weeks? This is a great analysis of the state of play and the reason no one can call anything yet: https://twitter.com/kentremendous/...

Steve of phpBB

A_B wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:23 pm
Johnnie wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:22 pm
But Georgia alone doesn’t do it. Need two states unless the one is Pennsylvania.

NV looks good. GA and NV gets Biden to 275 without AZ or PA.

Steve of phpBB

Johnnie wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:30 pmSo like, AP and Fox News are still sure about that call?

There’s no way they can be. But retracting now would cause a massive uproar.

If PA gets solid enough for a call, I could see them retracting the AZ call.

Steve of phpBB

How many ballots are left? I think about 100K in AZ total Actually around 140K, I think. If Trump goes 60-40 on remaining ballots statewide, it’d take 150,000 votes to erase Biden’s lead. If it’s really 173,000, then Trump needs 58.5%. Which is what they were saying a couple days ago he’d need. So ...

Steve of phpBB

How many ballots are left? I think about 100K in AZ total Actually around 140K, I think. If Trump goes 60-40 on remaining ballots statewide, it’d take 150,000 votes to erase Biden’s lead. If it’s really 173,000, then Trump needs 58.5%. Which is what they were saying a couple days ago he’d need. So ...

Steve of phpBB

Maricopa was/is supposed to report at 7 tonight. Should be any minute?

Steve of phpBB

Nate Silver on provisional ballots in PA ...

Steve of phpBB

A little late, no? I mean, half the RNC was filmed in the WH, with Trump performing live pardons and fireworks on the WH lawn, cabinet members speaking... He violated the Hatch Act almost every day for the past 4 years, so they investigate now that the damage is done? And it seems like it is only u...

Steve of phpBB

Related game: find a county with an FBS-sized university in it that went harder for Trump than Pickens County, SC at 74.5%. I'm sure we'll find one in Big XII/Mountain West country But don't most college students vote absentee in the county they actually live in, not where their university is? That...

Steve of phpBB

tennbengal wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 6:38 pm Steve - Wasserman's feed addressing the PA provisionals - head there - you will feel calmer.

Thanks. The Nates were reassuring too.

I just realized that I’m now 0-10 in voting for presidential electors.

Steve of phpBB

This talk about the provisional ballots in PA is starting to freak me out a little. Just when I had gotten comfortable.

Mother fuckers.

Steve of phpBB

So there’s a petition at the Supreme Court to stop counting of ballots arriving after E-Day?

If in fact there’s a pending lawsuit about the validity of those ballots, that’s probably the correct thing to do, isn’t it?

Steve of phpBB

Rex wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 11:24 am Related game: find a county with an FBS-sized university in it that went harder for Trump than Pickens County, SC at 74.5%. I'm sure we'll find one in Big XII/Mountain West country

I was thinking Utah County might exceed that. But right now Trump only has 66% of the vote there.

Steve of phpBB

Biden now up by 22,000 in Nevada.

Steve of phpBB

brian wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 11:12 am (If you saw my deleted tweet, sorry got snookered by a fake account.)

Dammit me too.

Steve of phpBB

Steve of phpBB

Generally good news from AZ?

Steve of phpBB

Haven't said her name in a minute, but all hail Stacy Abrams. https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2020/11/06/trump-biden-election-live-updates/#link-4XCXWWBCRNGXTKUYDE5X33FR6E How would we feel with her as the head of the DNC, guys? She can have whatever job she wants. She’s fucking earned it.

Steve of phpBB

There's no path for Trump in PA. I need Nevada called so there's no chance for a legal bailout in PA. If that one state is the gap, I'll remain concerned that it'll go the way I was always afraid it would go. (If not I'm very happily down $200.) Yeah I think that if shenanigans in PA could overturn...

Steve of phpBB

tennbengal wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:34 am Hook my twitter timeline to my veins. It turns out there is such a thing as joy-scrolling.

It's a little dusty here.

Man I’m with you 100%.

Steve of phpBB

The Sybian wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:09 am Realistically, is there any chance of winning the Senate? I can't fathom the Dems winning either of the GA runoffs.

Depends on how many folks Rex can put up in his basement the next two months.

Steve of phpBB

Holding onto AZ will be huge when it comes to the final electoral map. Having a huge continuous blue swath from Washington to CA to NM and CO looks way better.

Steve of phpBB

brian wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:52 amPA is blue now.

STOP THE COUNT!

Steve of phpBB

We have both a Fire Weather Warning and a Winter Storm Watch right now.

Steve of phpBB

Thanks guys. The dramatically increasing Covid rates is kinda taking over my employment anxiety, especially with my brother and nieces are coming from Oklahoma for Thanksgiving to stay with my mother in her two bedroom condo for the week. And the personal stories AB and Square Bob post brings it ho...

Steve of phpBB

Today could be one of the most consequential days in American history. Will Trump try to drag the republic down on his head and how will he go about doing it? I think a lot depends on the responses of Mcconnell, Barr, and Pence. They may be thinking of escape plans from the Trump family. I kinda th...

Steve of phpBB

Square Rob wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 4:53 am Biden just took Georgia lead.

So awesome to wake up to.

Steve of phpBB

This is "Veep" level absurdity withRichard Grennell as a slightly less angry Jonah Ryan. The location, the background noise, the combination of arrogance and stupidity, and an almost hyperventilating old lady... Trump Campaign Announces Nevada Lawsuit Until a couple months ago, Grenell wa...

Steve of phpBB

"I've seen enough" Yeah I just got that a second after I posted. Let the record reflect that I’ve found some bourbon to drink. I do not drink whiskey of any kind. Me too! Except for the last sentence. My wife and I got a chuckle from your post. We dug up some old ginger ale last night for...

Steve of phpBB

Brontoburglar wrote: ↑Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:33 pm "I've seen enough"

Yeah I just got that a second after I posted.

Let the record reflect that I’ve found some bourbon to drink. I do not drink whiskey of any kind.

Steve of phpBB

WTF?

Steve of phpBB

Steve of phpBB

govmentchedda wrote: ↑Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:43 pmUgh.

Yeah. I also don’t have a lot of pride when I think back to our Alison Stokke discussions.

Steve of phpBB

1900 ...

(Edit - I don’t know if this incorporates the votes Rex linked to a couple minutes ago.)

Steve of phpBB

There's 18,900 votes left to count. Biden going 60-40 will do it. If he continues to go 70-30 or better he'll pull ahead by 4000.

(Of course then you have to worry about provisional ballots and late-arriving military ballots, etc.)

Steve of phpBB

Holy fuck, Biden is within 4000 votes in Georgia.

We've now hit the "the Cubs just took the lead after the rain delay" stage of the proceedings. Now to wait nervously to see if they hold on.

Steve of phpBB

degenerasian wrote: ↑Thu Nov 05, 2020 5:14 pm The Georgia run chase is now 9,525 with 43,000 left.

I’ve seen it as 37,000 left. If so, Biden would need a run rate of 63%.

Steve of phpBB

I think/hope/pray that as soon as the lines intersect, the networks will call the state and the whole race.

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