2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Okay . . . let's try this again.

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2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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I know all of you are still a little down in the dumps after the Yankees were eliminated, but it's time to turn the page. I think the Astros can do this, in fact I will pick them to win in 5.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.


they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by rass »

degenerasian wrote:
mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.


they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.


Skip Sunday, play game 5 Monday, skip Halloween, hope for a game 7 and smush the Jets/Bills game.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by degenerasian »

rass wrote:
degenerasian wrote:
mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.


they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.


Skip Sunday, play game 5 Monday, skip Halloween, hope for a game 7 and smush the Jets/Bills game.


and mess with the great Monday and Thursday tv lineup on FOX!?
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by DSafetyGuy »

mister d wrote:Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.


Prior to a series starting, what are the mathematical likelihoods of the series going each potential length?
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by brian »

DSafetyGuy wrote:
mister d wrote:Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.


Prior to a series starting, what are the mathematical likelihoods of the series going each potential length?


Betting markets do this for every series, but their odds are "inefficient" since they don't add up to 100 percent (so they can get their cut). Kinda hoped WhoWins might have something like that (and maybe they do), but I couldn't find it.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by brian »

I just went ahead and did it myself with the data there. So historically in the history of all four major sports it looks like this.

Series ended after:

4 games - 215 of 1319 (16.30 percent)
5 games - 341 of 1319 (25.85 percent)
6 games - 418 of 1319 (31.69 percent)
7 games - 345 of 1319 (26.16 percent)
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by mister d »

I did a 50/50 calc and came up with a 62.5% chance of a series going atleast 6 games.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Steve of phpBB »

So, third straight year that the World Series is guaranteed to end one team's 29+ year drought?
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by mister d »

Quick, someone name a famous dead three year old.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Barbaro
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by bfj »

mister d wrote:Quick, someone name a famous dead three year old.


Only a d bag Yankees fan would find dead three year olds funny.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by mister d »

Buddy, either don't give me the setup or ask your team to win enough titles to cross over the "LOL dead person" threshold.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by bfj »

mister d wrote:Buddy, either don't give me the setup or ask your team to win enough titles to cross over the "LOL dead person" threshold.


I’ve asked. They don’t listen.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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That's on me! This is the thread!
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by tennbengal »

Dammit AB.

Kershaw may have this on lock. 5 Ks through three and one seeing eye single. Was wondering if he had a perfect game looming with the way his stuff is looking.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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I jinxed him.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Brontoburglar »

TB jinx
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by tennbengal »

Altho 9 Ks through five innings is pretty good.

1-1 middle of five - really pretty damn fine baseball game so far...
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Bregman forecasts as a really good player who "whites of a certain type" are going to like a bit too much.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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tennbengal wrote:Altho 9 Ks through five innings is pretty good.

1-1 middle of five - really pretty damn fine baseball game so far...



Hour and ten minutes! Love it!
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Joe K »

I'm curious how long the starters stay in this game if they keep cruising like this. I'm thinking Hinch lets Keuchel throw 100+ pitches but the Dodgers' pen has been so untouchable that Kershaw may be out sooner.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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The ghost of Larry King hovering over every batter close-up is what makes this game.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by tennbengal »

The yeti with another huge homerun.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Joe K »

Probably in the minority here, but I'd take Kershaw out now. Morrow and Jansen have been awesome and with Kershaw under 85 pitches you could potentially bring him back in Game 4 if Houston wins Games 2 and 3.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Joe K wrote:Probably in the minority here, but I'd take Kershaw out now. Morrow and Jansen have been awesome and with Kershaw under 85 pitches you could potentially bring him back in Game 4 if Houston wins Games 2 and 3.


I talked myself into this as it was happening.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Ryan »

I only watched a couple innings, but was that Mary Hart behind home plate too?
he’s a fixbking cyborg or some shit. The

holy fuckbAllZ, what a ducking nightmare. Holy shot. Just, fuck. The
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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SO I didn't notice the perfect youtube ad, but it pissed a lot of people off!

https://twitter.com/MinicarPics164/stat ... 2596539392
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Ryan wrote:I only watched a couple innings, but was that Mary Hart behind home plate too?


ONly had ten minutes to spare, huh?
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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Two (mainly) bad pitches by Keuchel. Still optimistic with Verlander on the mound tonight.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by tennbengal »

I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by Giff »

tennbengal wrote:I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.


Pre-stroke, hopefully.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by tennbengal »

Giff wrote:
tennbengal wrote:I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.


Pre-stroke, hopefully.


1979 JR Richard. Unreal year. Richard from 1976-1979 was unreal.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

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After that Vin entrance, Verlander is screwed.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by A_B »

Other than Koufax coming out (and i bet his arm is as shot as Scully's) the only thing that would have been better would have been Lasorda coming out to take the ball from him.
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Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Post by A_B »

This is fun!
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