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2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:49 am
by degenerasian
To start:

Objective: whoever has the most money at the end of the season wins. You can enter at anytime.

1. You have $1000 swamp bucks in your account.
2. You can make any 3 pre-season (outright) bets before kickoff 3:00pm Eastern Aug 10
2a at each mid-month, you can make 1 additional outright bet with updated odds
3. you can make 1 bet on each match day. Bets must be made before kickoff of each match
4. my odds will come from bet365.com but if you can find a better one, we'll go with that.


Spreadsheet

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:49 am
by degenerasian
You can make 3 pre-season bets before 3:00pm Aug 10.

Some odds (others upon request, just PM me and I'll look on bet365.com). If from another website other than bet365.com send me a link.

To win Premier League:
Man City 4/6, Liverpool 4/1, ManU 7/1, Chelsea 12/1, Tottenham 16/1, Arsenal 20/1

To win Premier League (without Man City)
Liverpool 6/5, ManU 5/2, Chelsea 5/1, Tottenham 6/1, Arsenal 8/1

To be Relegated:
Cardiff 4/6, Huddersfield 11/10, Fulham 2/1, Watford 2/1, Brighton 5/2, Burnley 4/1, Bournemouth 9/2, Newcastle 5/1, Crystal Palace 5/1, Southampton 7/1, West Ham 7/1, Wolverhampton 7/1, Wolverhampton 7/1


Match Day 1

home team listed first

Aug 10 3:00pm ET
ManU 9/20 DRAW 16/5 Leicester 13/2

Aug 11 7:30am ET
Newcastle 12/5 DRAW 5/2 Tottenham 21/20

Aug 11 10:00am ET
Bournemouth 10/11 DRAW 12/5 Cardiff 3/1
Fulham 5/4 DRAW 23/10 Crystal Palace 11/5
Huddersfield 9/2 DRAW 14/5 Chelsea 8/13
Watford 6/5 DRAW 9/4 Brighton 23/10

Aug 11 12:30pm ET
Wolverhampton 5/4 DRAW 23/10 Everton 11/5

Aug 12 8:30am ET
Liverpool 2/9 DRAW 5/1 West Ham 11/1
Southampton 8/11 DRAW 5/2 Burnley 4/1

Aug 12 11:00 am ET
Arsenal 13/5 DRAW 11/4 Man City 10/11

Other match related bets upon request

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:59 am
by mister d
To clarify, the second section is "either 1st or 2nd behind City"?

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:08 am
by degenerasian
mister d wrote: Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:59 am To clarify, the second section is "either 1st or 2nd behind City"?
yes

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:14 am
by Sabo
$100 on Wolverhampton to be relegated
$50 on Tottenham to win in week 1

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:24 am
by Pruitt
To ask a really dumb question - "Match Day" refers to the whole slate of games, on not a particular date (so I couldn't make a bet on the 11th and the 12th...)

And this looks like it's going to be a riot.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:31 am
by degenerasian
Pruitt wrote: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:24 am To ask a really dumb question - "Match Day" refers to the whole slate of games, on not a particular date (so I couldn't make a bet on the 11th and the 12th...)

And this looks like it's going to be a riot.
That's right. You can only make 1 bet on the whole slate of matches listed under Match Day 1.

As the schedule is laid out right now, there are 38 match days of 10 matches each.
But as we go, matches will get postponed or bumped for various reasons, those matches will not be available for betting or else it would mess things up.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:39 am
by A_B
Fifty on Man U to win until the moneys gone thanks.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:40 am
by Pruitt
Sounds good.

I'll take Brighton to win for $50.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:50 am
by Sabo
A_B wrote: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:39 am Fifty on Man U to win until the moneys gone thanks.
Considering Jose doesn't play for the win, you're gonna be out of money after 20 weeks.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 1:12 pm
by Pruitt
Sabo wrote: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:50 am
A_B wrote: Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:39 am Fifty on Man U to win until the moneys gone thanks.
Considering Jose doesn't play for the win, you're gonna be out of money after 20 weeks.
What are the odds that Mourinho is still in Manchester in 20 weeks time?

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 1:19 pm
by govmentchedda
$100 on Liverpool to win the league
$20 on Cardiff to be relegated

Matchday 1 - $20 on DRAW in Man U/Leicester

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 07, 2018 2:07 pm
by Pruitt
$60 on Cardiff to be relegated.

$20 on Bournemouth to be relegated

$20 on Spurs to win (without Man City)

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:58 pm
by sancarlos
I guess I'm in.

$100 DRAW on Man U v. Leicester, Aug 10
$100 DRAW on Wolves v. Everton, Aug 11

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Wed Aug 08, 2018 3:20 pm
by Sabo
sancarlos wrote: Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:58 pm I guess I'm in.

$100 DRAW on Man U v. Leicester, Aug 10
$100 DRAW on Wolves v. Everton, Aug 11
Bzzzzt. Both games are in Match Day 1, and you can only pick one game per match day. See Pruitt's earlier question for clarification.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Wed Aug 08, 2018 6:11 pm
by sancarlos
Sabo wrote: Wed Aug 08, 2018 3:20 pm
sancarlos wrote: Wed Aug 08, 2018 2:58 pm I guess I'm in.

$100 DRAW on Man U v. Leicester, Aug 10
$100 DRAW on Wolves v. Everton, Aug 11
Bzzzzt. Both games are in Match Day 1, and you can only pick one game per match day. See Pruitt's earlier question for clarification.
OK, then. Scratch the Man U/Leicester bet.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:08 am
by degenerasian
My 3 outright bets

Man City to go undefeated: $20 @ 40/1
Top Newcomer: Fulham $100 @ 11/4 (who finishes higher between Fulham, Wolverhampton and Cardiff)
To finish in Top Half: West Ham $100 @ 11/10

Match Day 1

Fulham to WIN $100 @ 5/4

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am
by Giff
50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManCity

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:06 pm
by mister d
Are we doing posted odds (above), odds on bet365.com when you post your bet or closing odds?

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
by govmentchedda
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:17 pm
by Pruitt
degenerasian wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:08 am My 3 outright bets

Man City to go undefeated: $20 @ 40/1
Top Newcomer: Fulham $100 @ 11/4 (who finishes higher between Fulham, Wolverhampton and Cardiff)
To finish in Top Half: West Ham $100 @ 11/10

Match Day 1

Fulham to WIN $100 @ 5/4
Could I see those odds for finishing in top half and undefeated and top newcomer?

I may change my 3 season long bets...

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:18 pm
by Giff
govmentchedda wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.
Image

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:58 pm
by degenerasian
Pruitt wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:17 pm
degenerasian wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 10:08 am My 3 outright bets

Man City to go undefeated: $20 @ 40/1
Top Newcomer: Fulham $100 @ 11/4 (who finishes higher between Fulham, Wolverhampton and Cardiff)
To finish in Top Half: West Ham $100 @ 11/10

Match Day 1

Fulham to WIN $100 @ 5/4
Could I see those odds for finishing in top half and undefeated and top newcomer?

I may change my 3 season long bets...
https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C172/D1/E36964735/F2
https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C172/D1/E37994249/F2
https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C172/D1/E37392883/F2

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:59 pm
by degenerasian
mister d wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:06 pm Are we doing posted odds (above), odds on bet365.com when you post your bet or closing odds?
any of them. whatever you can find. Posted odds above are just a guide.

I trust you all.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 1:36 pm
by mister d
Futures:
$200 - 1st: Man City, 2nd: Liverpool, 3rd: Man Utd @ 9/1 (to win $1,800)
$90 - 1st: Liverpool, 2nd: Man City, 3rd: Man Utd @ 20/1 (to win $1,800)
$110 - Top Goalscorer Aubameyang @ 13/2 (to win $715)

Day 1:
$50 - Everton to win @ 12/5 (to win $120)

$550 in the bank

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:30 pm
by Sabo
$50 on Mohamed Salah as Top Goalscorer @ 6/1

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:14 pm
by Pruitt
Okay, my 3 season long bets are...

$100 - Cardiff to be relegated.(4/6)

$20 - Firmino top goalscorer (25/1)

$30 - Brighton top half of table (6/1)

MATCH DAY 1
$50 - Brighton win

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:54 pm
by Giff
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:18 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.
Image
Man, fuck y'all this was a funny reply.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:57 pm
by sancarlos
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:54 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:18 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity
50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.
Image
Man, fuck y'all this was a funny reply.
Image

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 5:16 pm
by Sabo
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:54 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:18 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.
Image
Man, fuck y'all this was a funny reply.
I don't get it.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 5:17 pm
by Giff
Updating my futures:
$150 - 1st: Man City, 2nd: ManUtd, 3rd: Arsenal @ 33/1 (to win $4950)
$50 - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @13/2 (to win $325)
$50 - Rel: Bournemouth, Burnley & Cardiff @ 80/1 (to win $4000)

Match:
$50 - DRAW on Arsenal/ManCity @ 14/5 (to win $140)

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Thu Aug 09, 2018 5:23 pm
by Giff
Sabo wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 5:16 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 4:54 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:18 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:07 pm
Giff wrote: Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:44 am 50 on Bournemouth to be relegated
50 on ManU winning it without ManCity


50 DRAW on Arsenal/ManU
That game is Arsenal Man Shitty, not United.
Image
Man, fuck y'all this was a funny reply.
I don't get it.
Something a newbie like me would probably do

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 8:50 am
by Sabo
I also want to put $200 down on Zinedine Zidane being the next Man U manager. Obviously, this bet is a loser if Jose stays all season. Current odds are 11/4 for Zidane based on this link: http://www.thesackrace.com/teams/manchester-united

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:17 am
by govmentchedda
Sabo wrote: Fri Aug 10, 2018 8:50 am I also want to put $200 down on Zinedine Zidane being the next Man U manager. Obviously, this bet is a loser if Jose stays all season. Current odds are 11/4 for Zidane based on this link: http://www.thesackrace.com/teams/manchester-united
From your lips to Ed Woodward's ears.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:50 am
by degenerasian
Spreadsheet is updated and linked at the top

I think I got everyone.

3 hours until kickoff.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:56 am
by wlu_lax6
Relegation for Fulham $50
Burnley for Relegation $100
Man City for the title $100
Liverpool win in week 1 $100

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 11:19 am
by Sabo
degenerasian wrote: Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:50 am Spreadsheet is updated and linked at the top

I think I got everyone.

3 hours until kickoff.
One correction for the spreadsheet. I bet $200 on Jose being replaced by Zidane, not $50.

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 11:47 am
by govmentchedda
wlu_lax6 wrote: Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:56 am Relegation for Fulham $50
Burnley for Relegation $100
Man City for the title $100
Liverpool win in week 1 $100
Never!!!!!!!!!

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 4:28 pm
by degenerasian
Spreadsheet is updated

Match Day 2

home team listed first

Aug 18 7:30am ET
Cardiff 2/1 DRAW 21/20 Newcastle 29/20

Aug 18 10:00am ET
Everton 19/20 DRAW 23/10 Southampton 3/1
Leicester 1/1 DRAW 12/5 Wolverhampton 14/5
Tottenham 1/4 DRAW 5/1 Fulham 9/1
West Ham 21/20 DRAW 23/10 Bournemouth 13/5

Aug 18 12:30pm ET
Chelsea 4/5 DRAW 3/1 Arsenal 3/1

Aug 19 8:30am ET
Burnley 11/8 DRAW 2/1 Watford 9/4
Man City 1/12 DRAW 10/1 Huddersfield 20/1

Aug 19 11:00am ET
Brighton 4/1 DRAW 5/2 ManU 8/11

Aug 20 3:00pm ET
Crystal Palace 6/1 DRAW 15/4 Liverpool 2/5

Re: 2018/2019 Premier League CHALLENGE

Posted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 4:38 pm
by Pruitt
Man City is 1/12!

(Not my pick - just incredible odds)