2018 Midterm Elections

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Joe K
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by Joe K »

mister d wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 6:35 pm I have two bets on tomorrow, one that says < 2 of Beto, Gillum and Abrams and one that says the Dems won't control the House when its sworn in (for any and all possible reasons, including simply not winning enough seats). I'll either have $100 or I'll be really happy.
I think you’ll split those bets. I predict Gillum pulls it out but O’Rourke and Abrams lose. And I think the Democrats will gain a narrow majority in the House but the Senate will be 50-50 or 51-49 GOP.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by The Sybian »

Giff wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 7:36 pm I don't know if it's just flashbacks to how this day ended two years ago, but I'm feeling really pessimistic about tomorrow.
How was that only 2 years ago? It seems like more than a decade. Fuck, it's amazing how much has happened. As horrified as I was that night, I had no idea how truly bad things could get. Trump would turn the US into a dictatorship if he could, and he constantly tells us he would, and after 2 years, nobody has shown any effort to stop him. Sure, the Dems would have to resort to breaking the rules to stop Trump, but really not one Republican has lifted a finger. A few have given tepid lip service, but what we have witnessed is off the charts beyond any worst case scenario we could ever imagine. OTOH, not much has actually changed in my day to day life, other than obsessing over the lunatic in the WH. Sure, the upswing in pollution will soon show real consequences, and the destruction of regulations in all sectors of life..., the idiotic trade wars will eventually damage our economy, the enormous deficit and cuts in social programs and gutting AHA will hurt lots of people very soon, but Dems will be in power when all those consequences are truly felt, and the Republicans will blame it on the Dems.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Johnnie wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 8:10 pm
Giff wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 7:36 pm I don't know if it's just flashbacks to how this day ended two years ago, but I'm feeling really pessimistic about tomorrow.
I've been addicted to politics since summer 2016 and it only intensified after Trump. I go to the politics subreddit multiple times a day. I read a bunch of WaPo, Politico, and various other articles daily. I follow more politically affiliated people on Twitter then I've ever cared to. I check polls weekly. I've registered to vote and voted absentee last month. I'm actually kinda bummed I don't live in Texas if only to help Beto. And I feel the same damn way.

And articles like this make me feel even worse: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/re ... the-house/

It's because I'm jaded and an eternal pessimist. The bad guys win in life and lose in the movies. Despite such blatant and obvious corruption in the current administration, there's no one person that can stop it. Plus, work stuff hurts my head daily and I'm still feeling effects of my failed deployment. I just can't see the good guys ever winning or people coming to their senses.

So yea. I feel you.
I'm so proud of you, Johnnie. 2 years ago, you would have laughed at the idea that you'd care about politics and be excited to vote. If nothing else, Trump did motivate a lot of people, on both sides, to take part in the political process.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

I’ve been in line for 20 minutes. Probably have at least that left. Largest turnout I’ve ever seen and this is the same time of day I generally vote.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

brian wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:02 pm
A_B wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 2:53 pm So just fill it out for her?
Think it has to be signed and the signature must match the voter registration.
The more I think about this I wonder if my vote has ever counted. Because my signature now is notthing like what I signed at 18. It does match my drivers license though.
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L-Jam3
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by L-Jam3 »

Just got back from my polling place in the 856. I was number 39 in my municipal district, and assuming there's about 40 districts in my town, that means there's about 1600 so far by 7:30 am. Pretty sure that's high.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by tennbengal »

Anecdotal reports are good elsewhere too. I will try and hold some hope. If I thought things were being played straight in terms of votes counting and being counted correctly, I might even be optimistic. As it is, down to fingers crossed.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:29 am I’ve been in line for 20 minutes. Probably have at least that left. Largest turnout I’ve ever seen and this is the same time of day I generally vote.
Ended up being 50 minute wait. Lady who has been working same district for 10 years said it was easily largest turnout they've had by 8 AM since she's been doing it.
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duff
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by duff »

Only took 30 minutes. The Mrs. was leaving the house when I was getting back, and she was back within 20 minutes. I guess the Amish come later in the day.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by Pruitt »

It's incredible hearing about Americans waiting for hours to vote.

They have made it so easy to vote up here - in the last few elections, early polling was available for 5 days at pretty much the same number of polling stations as on election day. In 35 years of voting in maybe 50-60 elections, I have never waited more than 20 minutes.

But enough about me.

Good luck today guys.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by BSF21 »

duff wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:32 am Only took 30 minutes. The Mrs. was leaving the house when I was getting back, and she was back within 20 minutes. I guess the Amish come later in the day.
15 minutes in and out at 7:30a. Though the woman working told me the rush this morning was big. I was around #1800 for ballot in my district, which feels high?
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by tennbengal »

Just. I mean.

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by degenerasian »

Pruitt wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:36 am It's incredible hearing about Americans waiting for hours to vote.

They have made it so easy to vote up here - in the last few elections, early polling was available for 5 days at pretty much the same number of polling stations as on election day. In 35 years of voting in maybe 50-60 elections, I have never waited more than 20 minutes.

But enough about me.

Good luck today guys.
We are a smaller country so it's easier. Plus everything is centralized. Revenue Canada, Statistics Canada and Elections Canada. Provinces cant suppress the vote by unregistering people.

For me advanced voting starts on the Olympic vote today so I'll be voting after work.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by Pruitt »

tennbengal wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:42 am Just. I mean.

I have nothing to add.

Other than Trump never ceases to disgust and amaze.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by tennbengal »

I gotta say, "elect republicans to protect Obamacare" was a twist I didn't see coming.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by L-Jam3 »

I felt dirty voting for Menendez, but Roy Moore fucked little girls too, and he got over 650K votes.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by rass »

Hugin's company let my father-in-law die of CLL in a hospital less than 10 miles away from Celgene's HQ, despite many pleading letters from my wife, her sisters, various state representatives and the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society. He wasn't worth their time, money or Revlimid. Makes my vote easier, and you're welcome to sublet my anger.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by mister d »

I'd love it if the Dems came in and obliterated Obamacare.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by mister d »

Raining pretty hard here. Awesome.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

If anyone wanted it, I created a pdf scorecard for all the toss up races (rated by real clear politics - cook political report will not load for me) and I can shoot it to you via e-mail. just pm me your e-mail addy.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by DaveInSeattle »

Pruitt wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:36 am It's incredible hearing about Americans waiting for hours to vote.

They have made it so easy to vote up here - in the last few elections, early polling was available for 5 days at pretty much the same number of polling stations as on election day. In 35 years of voting in maybe 50-60 elections, I have never waited more than 20 minutes.

But enough about me.

Good luck today guys.
Here in Washington State, everything is now vote by mail. Super easy. Don't even need a stamp for your ballot.

Its insane that voting is so difficult in so many parts of the country.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by GoodKarma »

DaveInSeattle wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:21 am
Pruitt wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:36 am It's incredible hearing about Americans waiting for hours to vote.

They have made it so easy to vote up here - in the last few elections, early polling was available for 5 days at pretty much the same number of polling stations as on election day. In 35 years of voting in maybe 50-60 elections, I have never waited more than 20 minutes.

But enough about me.

Good luck today guys.
Here in Washington State, everything is now vote by mail. Super easy. Don't even need a stamp for your ballot.

Its insane that voting is so difficult in so many parts of the country.
CO is by mail as well but we have to pay for the postage...damn ripoff!

Although you can drop them at various spots throughout the city so you don't have to mail if you don't want to.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:33 am
brian wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:02 pm
A_B wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 2:53 pm So just fill it out for her?
Think it has to be signed and the signature must match the voter registration.
The more I think about this I wonder if my vote has ever counted. Because my signature now is notthing like what I signed at 18. It does match my drivers license though.
Same here. They have to tell you at the time before you vote if they don't think it's a match though. I literally have the same problem every time and finally officially changed it last time I voted. Last two times I had to show them my ID even though I'm not technically required by law to do so.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Joe K wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 9:46 pm
mister d wrote: Mon Nov 05, 2018 6:35 pm I have two bets on tomorrow, one that says < 2 of Beto, Gillum and Abrams and one that says the Dems won't control the House when its sworn in (for any and all possible reasons, including simply not winning enough seats). I'll either have $100 or I'll be really happy.
I think you’ll split those bets. I predict Gillum pulls it out but O’Rourke and Abrams lose. And I think the Democrats will gain a narrow majority in the House but the Senate will be 50-50 or 51-49 GOP.
That sounds right to me too. I think the Dems will do well in the House, but O'Rourke and Abrams lose and the Rs hold the Senate 51-49.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by mister d »

My signature might be the most forge-able in the county.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by Ryan »

1030. 45 degrees and raining. Busiest I’ve ever seen.
he’s a fixbking cyborg or some shit. The

holy fuckbAllZ, what a ducking nightmare. Holy shot. Just, fuck. The
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by brian »

Seems like high turnouts in most places should favor the Dems given that it's a midterm, but no way am I going to let myself be hopeful ever again. I honestly don't think I'll ever be able to heading into an election regardless of the polls or the situation ever again.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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brian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:38 am Seems like high turnouts in most places should favor the Dems given that it's a midterm, but no way am I going to let myself be hopeful ever again. I honestly don't think I'll ever be able to heading into an election regardless of the polls or the situation ever again.
I'd feel confident as hell if the Dems didn't have to beat the spread.

And the Senate is stacked against the Ds this year, but really that's because of the Wave of 2006. So I guess not a bad problem to have.

I'm pretty sure that after today, the Dems will have gotten more votes for the presidency, House, and Senate. And if we're lucky, they'll control one out of those three.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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mister d wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:33 am My signature might be the most forge-able in the county.
When I was in 8th grade I forged my dad's signature on a bad algebra test score which came back to haunt me when the next one was bad and my parents had no idea why I was doing bad all of the sudden. After the conference with the teacher, he says to me in the car "I know you know not to do that again, but damn if I didn't second-guess that I actually signed that test. Nice work".
well this is gonna be someone's new signature - bronto
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by Rush2112 »

I'm only 50 pages in, but it's amazing the hoops that one had to jump through to exercise the right to vote.

Image
Did you see that ludicrous display last night?
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by testuser2 »

Wife was 125 at 8am this morning in the rain. That is crazy high. I was only 200ish in 2016 at 7pm. No students in our district either.

I ended up giving all my staff an off the books hour to go vote when they see fit.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by govmentchedda »

I'm confident in the Blue Wave. It won't be everywhere and everyone, but I'm predicting a tsunami.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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testuser2 wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:37 amI ended up giving all my staff an off the books hour to go vote when they see fit.
Awesome. Will that be enough?
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

My wife went at 10 and waited over an hour.
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brian
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by brian »

My ISP is having issues so I can't access a bunch of websites including FiveThirtyEight.com but maybe that's just as well.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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brian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:46 pm My ISP is having issues so I can't access a bunch of websites including FiveThirtyEight.com but maybe that's just as well.
Yup. It's like having peril-sensitive sunglasses.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by A_B »

You know what you need? A lyrical sucker punch to the face.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by sancarlos »

DaveInSeattle wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:21 am
Pruitt wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:36 am It's incredible hearing about Americans waiting for hours to vote.

They have made it so easy to vote up here - in the last few elections, early polling was available for 5 days at pretty much the same number of polling stations as on election day. In 35 years of voting in maybe 50-60 elections, I have never waited more than 20 minutes.

But enough about me.

Good luck today guys.
Here in Washington State, everything is now vote by mail. Super easy. Don't even need a stamp for your ballot.

Its insane that voting is so difficult in so many parts of the country.
We have the vote by mail option, too. I voted last week. Or do as my wife does - receive the ballot in the mail and drop it in the box at the polling place.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by sancarlos »

govmentchedda wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:07 pm I'm confident in the Blue Wave. It won't be everywhere and everyone, but I'm predicting a tsunami.
Enough to control congress would be fine.
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