2018 Midterm Elections

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:15 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:07 pm I'm confident in the Blue Wave. It won't be everywhere and everyone, but I'm predicting a tsunami.
Enough to control congress would be fine.
Enough to control just the House would be fine. The Senate staying 51-49 or even 52-48 wouldn't be ideal, but having some kind of check on Trump in the House as far as subpeona power and being able to investigate his graft would be wonderful.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:08 pm
Shit, in Buffalo, saying Hooter's wings are decent is a capital offense.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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brian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:42 pm
sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:15 pm
govmentchedda wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:07 pm I'm confident in the Blue Wave. It won't be everywhere and everyone, but I'm predicting a tsunami.
Enough to control congress would be fine.
Enough to control just the House would be fine. The Senate staying 51-49 or even 52-48 wouldn't be ideal, but having some kind of check on Trump in the House as far as subpeona power and being able to investigate his graft would be wonderful.
The Senate would be really, really great, because then the Dems could slow down Trump's court-packing.

But I think it would take a miracle.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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The Sybian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:49 pm Shit, in Buffalo, saying Hooter's wings are decent is a capital offense.
Give me Duff's or give me death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by duff »

Sabo wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:13 pm
The Sybian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:49 pm Shit, in Buffalo, saying Hooter's wings are decent is a capital offense.
Give me Duff's or give me death.
You can't afford my wings, skinny.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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duff wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:19 pm
Sabo wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:13 pm
The Sybian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:49 pm Shit, in Buffalo, saying Hooter's wings are decent is a capital offense.
Give me Duff's or give me death.
You can't afford my wings, skinny.
Image
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:08 pm
The lemon pepper joints... But these got the sauce on them.

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by tennbengal »

I hate to ask, but I'm gonna ask. Since I don't do reddit, any early freakouts or good news on exit polling?
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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tennbengal wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:05 pm I hate to ask, but I'm gonna ask. Since I don't do reddit, any early freakouts or good news on exit polling?
This story just posted on WaPo:

Broken machines, rejected ballots and long lines: voting problems emerge as Americans go to the polls.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

Post by tennbengal »

Yeah, I’ve seen those reports all day - sadly those are every election now. It’s part of what makes it work for the Republicans. Was actually curious for any deep throat type murmuring from insiders. Because I like punishment, apparently.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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tennbengal wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:41 pm Yeah, I’ve seen those reports all day - sadly those are every election now. It’s part of what makes it work for the Republicans. Was actually curious for any deep throat type murmuring from insiders. Because I like punishment, apparently.
Turnout still running good in NV. Looking like turnout today is tracking to be at near 2016 level. Clark County firewall is being increased. I'd put the odds of Jacky Rosen turning Heller's seat blue at about -300 right now. Maybe even -400.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Follow @RalstonReports for all things NV related. Latest!:
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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I'm one of those Independents, but I went straight ticket Dem all the way down.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Eat the rich.
No matter who wins today, please remember this: the rich are your enemy. This fact is built into the structure of our nation. The power of the rich must be arrested if any of the political reforms you hope for are ever to come about.

In a political environment like we have now it is easy to lose sight of the big, big picture. It is impossible not to become focused on the procession of daily outrages. And indeed, the daily outrages are not unimportant. Xenophobia. Racism. Sexism. Nationalism. Isolationism. Deregulation. Climate change. Grotesque corruption. Assault on the environment. Outright lies and a rejection of objective truths. Too many petty insults to count. And, as a backdrop to it all, the not so slow creep of modern day fascism, settling onto America like a fine acid rain.

We could all be excused for being drawn completely into the hope for a BLUE WAVE, anything to knock the Trump train off its tracks. Certainly, even a Democratic House of Representatives will be a meaningful improvement on the state of affairs we have now. At least a small brake. That is something to be celebrated. But everyone who claims to be part of #TheResistance should take a moment to think about what we truly need to be resisting. Not just Donald Trump, a buffoon who will surely drop dead of meatloaf poisoning in a decade or so.

Money.

The economic inequality that has been rising for 40 years is poisoning American society. It is sociopolitical sepsis. The tiny class of extremely rich people ultimately have an ideology that does not care about which party is in power. Their ideology rests on bending politics to protect their fortunes. Everything else is subservient to that. The reason that Trump can garner enough power to vault himself into the White House in the first place is that there is too much power in too few hands, and those hands pushed him over the fence. All of his racism and xenophobia is mere hand-waving while he arranges for the rich to further loot the country. The Republican Party is awfully inept but they sure were able to pass those tax cuts. In the long run, the battle is not between working class people who vote Republican and working class people who vote Democrat. The battle is between the rich and everyone else. Once you orient your viewpoint in the direction of taking power—economic, social, political—away from the rich and spreading it more fairly to everyone else, contentious issues can become much more clear. We are in a fight with the rich that the rich have been winning for my entire lifetime. Rich Democrats and rich Republicans are both winning as the majority of the country loses. That is what happened in 2016, and that is what’s happening in 2018, and that is what will be happening in 2020 and beyond. When you think about who to support, and what to fight for, think about who has all of the money, and who has all of the power, and how we can change that, for everyone.

Red vs. Blue and CNN vs. Fox is the sort of surface-level political sniping that keeps everything beneath the surface the same. Fascism is back in America. So is socialism. The rich will fall on a predictable side of that divide. We need to take from the rich and give to everyone else. We’ve been losing the class war for many decades. Electoral politics is just one way to help us turn that around. Politicians come and go, but compound interest and capital gains and minimum wage and unemployment will be here a long, long time. Class war 2018. Class war 2020. Class war until billionaires and homelessness both disappear.
I voted blue across the board today (never before), except to say that I left the MD Attorney General ballot for Marilyn Mosby unchecked.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Johnnie wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:54 pm I'm one of those Independents, but I went straight ticket Dem all the way down.
I was an IND from '88 to '16 so that I could vote Sanders in the MD Primary. I'm now an IND again.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Johnnie wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:54 pm I'm one of those Independents, but I went straight ticket Dem all the way down.
Gonna be interesting when the final data is available to see who the indies in NV broke for. Historically, it's always been close to 50/50, but if they're leaning to the Dems this year, then turnout today might not even matter. If it's even 55/45 for Rosen, then Heller's career is done.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Can I ask something that I never understood - why do people declare which party they're a member of?
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Pruitt wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:20 pm Can I ask something that I never understood - why do people declare which party they're a member of?
Because here all that matters is that you're part of the winning herd.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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The less sarcastic answer is so you can vote in primaries.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Johnnie wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:54 pm I'm one of those Independents, but I went straight ticket Dem all the way down.
Me too. Although in CA it hardly matters.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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mister d wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:23 pm The less sarcastic answer is so you can vote in primaries.
Some states, such as California, have open primaries. Meaning I could vote in either the Republican or Democratic primary election.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:25 pm
mister d wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:23 pm The less sarcastic answer is so you can vote in primaries.
Some states, such as California, have open primaries. Meaning I could vote in either the Republican or Democratic primary election.
Does California even have party primaries anymore? I thought it was just the opening round and then the runoff.

Some states restrict the primary to just members of that party. Others allow their members and non-affiliated to participate.

In Utah, the Republican primaries have been closed, but the Dems - desperate for anyone to show up - have primaries open to everyone, even Republicans.

I was registered unaffiliated forever, because I just didn't want to make a public statement. I figured it was no one's business. Then this year I registered Dem to support the resistance to Trump.

Then I started doing work for a state agency dealing with land issues - very conservative and Republican - so now I'm worried they're going to look.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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I was "non-partisan" (i.e. independent) in NV until this election cycle (though always voted Democrat with some very rare exceptions), but finally made the switch to be able to vote in the primaries this year.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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I'm torn between regretting not registering to be anti-Menendez and knowing if I had, I'd just be a registered D voting for Menendez.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Steve of phpBB wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:29 pm
sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:25 pm
mister d wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:23 pm The less sarcastic answer is so you can vote in primaries.
Some states, such as California, have open primaries. Meaning I could vote in either the Republican or Democratic primary election.
Does California even have party primaries anymore? I thought it was just the opening round and then the runoff.

Some states restrict the primary to just members of that party. Others allow their members and non-affiliated to participate.

In Utah, the Republican primaries have been closed, but the Dems - desperate for anyone to show up - have primaries open to everyone, even Republicans.

I was registered unaffiliated forever, because I just didn't want to make a public statement. I figured it was no one's business. Then this year I registered Dem to support the resistance to Trump.

Then I started doing work for a state agency dealing with land issues - very conservative and Republican - so now I'm worried they're going to look.
Well, actually you are right. They changed it some time ago, and now California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary for its state and federal elections (excluding presidential elections). The top two vote-getters across all parties advance to the general election, which means general election opponents can be from the same party. For instance, for US Senator, today we choose between Democrat Diane Feinstein and Democrat Kevin De Leon.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:42 pmFor instance, for US Senator, today we choose between Democrat Diane Feinstein and Democrat Kevin De Leon.
Finally a real choice!

(Is De Leon any good? Every time I hear Barbara Boxer on MSNBC, I wish Feinstein had retired instead of her.)
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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More raw data from Nevada/Clark County.



The number of indie/NP voters from ages 18 to 30 in Clark is indeed fascinating. When the story or this election is told, if Rosen wins it's going to be because of the youth vote.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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So nervous. Feel like vomiting.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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So accurate

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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I'm reading that lots of polling places are running out of ballots because so many people are voting and the stations are staying open later.

That's incredible.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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mister d wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:23 pm The less sarcastic answer is so you can vote in primaries.
Just facepalmed myself.

Thanks!

And again... good luck tonight.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Steve of phpBB wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:00 pm
sancarlos wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:42 pmFor instance, for US Senator, today we choose between Democrat Diane Feinstein and Democrat Kevin De Leon.
Finally a real choice!

(Is De Leon any good? Every time I hear Barbara Boxer on MSNBC, I wish Feinstein had retired instead of her.)
De Leon takes reliably progressive positions, so I guess he's good from that angle. I've read stories about sketchy ethics though. It's been alleged that his help to his daughter looked a lot like nepotism or influence peddling, and he took crap from newspapers and #metoo leaders for allegedly protecting his political allies when he shot down whistle-blower protections.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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We've talked about this here, but this is a pretty good bellwether for how the night is going to go I think. If McGrath wins KY-06, it seems to me to be pretty unlikely the GOP will hold the House. That's going to be the canary in the coalmine.

(No offense, AB.)
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Johnnie wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:28 pm So accurate

So I'll see you guys at the polls next Thursday!

It's this Tuesday.

I know mom, I was just kidding!

[SMMMMMMAAAAAAAACK]

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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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none Taken! Man it was a nasty campaign though.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 6:55 pm none Taken! Man it was a nasty campaign though.
That was too obvious of a coal joke, but it is fitting/accurate tonight I think. It will be a harbinger of things to come if it happens I believe.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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Shes up 12k votes with half of Lexington counted. Outlying counties are 2k in favor of barr at the moment. Much like what you said about Clark County and Heller's race, if she wins Fayette by 20 points its going to be tough sledding.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:23 pm Shes up 12k votes with half of Lexington counted. Outliers are 2k in favor of barr at the moment. Much like what you said about Clark County and Heller's race, if she wins Fayette by 20 points its going to be tough sledding.
Yeah, just saw the latest update with a huge dump of Fayette County votes. That one's probably gonna be going down to the wire. The winner probably isn't gonna win by more than about 1,000 votes or so.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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brian wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:27 pm
A_B wrote: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:23 pm Shes up 12k votes with half of Lexington counted. Outliers are 2k in favor of barr at the moment. Much like what you said about Clark County and Heller's race, if she wins Fayette by 20 points its going to be tough sledding.
Yeah, just saw the latest update with a huge dump of Fayette County votes. That one's probably gonna be going down to the wire. The winner probably isn't gonna win by more than about 1,000 votes or so.
Madison COunty just south of Lexington that has EKU will probably decide it, to be honest.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections

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My own personal CD (NV-04) has been one of the swingiest districts in the country since I've lived in it, but it's almost certainly gonna be a Dem win tonight, so I'm investing way too much agita in KY-06. I'm gonna need some crack or heroin tonight. Weed and booze ain't gonna cut it.
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