I was looking at the track for this earlier and it's not really a track that actually happens very often. Hurricanes rarely hit the middle of Florida - they generally either turn north or make a hard turn west. The ocean is really warm south, less so north (obviously but I mean right now it's a clear difference) and so I figured this thing is probably going to be a bigger deal than anticipated, because it has a very similar track to Hurricane Andrew. Now, today the strength just keeps getting bumped higher.
I hope this thing turns back out into the ocean but I have a pretty bad feeling about it. I'll be in Jamaica so not worried about myself but if it does turn west, we gon' have some problems.
Andrew was a bit further out east so that probably works in our favor but it too was predicted to hit the middle of Florida but since that almost never happens, instead it went into that Bahamian bathwater and eventually 15 years later caused a shit ton of traffic on 595.
Pack a vest for your james in the city of intercourse
@crankywxguy seems to think that we won't have much real guidance until about 24 hours from now, when it crosses through Puerto Rico or Hispaniola. No matter what, it's putting the damper on my plans to head to Jupiter for the long weekend.
Until everything is less insane, I'm mixing weed with wine.
The gulf coast shouldn't be an issue unless things change a ton next week. The other track this reminds me of is Hurricane Floyd, which looked like it was going to end Florida forever and then at the last minute turned north and killed more northerly people.
Pack a vest for your james in the city of intercourse
govmentchedda wrote: ↑Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:31 am
@crankywxguy seems to think that we won't have much real guidance until about 24 hours from now, when it crosses through Puerto Rico or Hispaniola. No matter what, it's putting the damper on my plans to head to Jupiter for the long weekend.
Obviously he's right, I'm just guessing. I typically compare them to historical tracks more than I put stock in the early models.
Pack a vest for your james in the city of intercourse
It has already undergone some significant forecast (cone) shifts north and will likely now miss Hispaniola - which means it won't get chewed up by the terrain there. It was also dealing with a lot of dry air for awhile, but that will soon no longer be the case. Frankly, it has a chance to be a real problem now. Steering will push it due west at some point, as it will be blocked early next week from coming too far north along the coast.
I think a weird Trump thing that almost no one talks about is how he uses exclamation points when tweeting about these storms, almost like he's excited. He just tweeted "maybe one of the biggest!" in relation to Dorian. I hope it misses the US but if it does hit I hope fucking Mar-A-Lago takes the worst of it.
brian wrote: ↑Thu Aug 29, 2019 10:27 am
I think a weird Trump thing that almost no one talks about is how he uses exclamation points when tweeting about these storms, almost like he's excited. He just tweeted "maybe one of the biggest!" in relation to Dorian. I hope it misses the US but if it does hit I hope fucking Mar-A-Lago takes the worst of it.
And Doral gets obliterated.
Although, there would then probably be hundreds of millions siphoned to his company to repair the places.
"beautiful, with an exotic-yet-familiar facial structure and an arresting gaze."
It’s supposed to pivot north at some point tomorrow afternoon, and all the spaghetti models are saying pretty much the same thing. Of course, until they don’t. My dad says he’s going to wait to decide to leave (Palm Beach Gardens), which I think is stupid. He should be driving across the state to spend a few days at a hotel in Tampa.
Very little sign of preparations in Charleston. Gov evacuated the town but I was surprised at the lack of concern generally. The highway did flip so that was a sight. Evacuation routes really do take you where you need to go.
I'm not one to root for natural disasters, but I kinda want Hurricane Karen to happen for the meme potential. The haircut photoshops. The demand to speak with Florida's manager. All of it.
