2020: The Democratic Presidential Nomination Thread

[Steve of phpBB]

Biden’s at 50 in Wisconsin too. I expect Trump to win that state.

[tennbengal]

Biden’s at 50 in Wisconsin too. I expect Trump to win that state.

50 seems good?

[Steve of phpBB]

Biden’s at 50 in Wisconsin too. I expect Trump to win that state.

50 seems good?

Yeah I think 50 is better than 43.

[The Sybian]

Another dumb question. Since this convention is virtual, why is it being limited to the same nightly schedule as an in-person convention? This thing should be on 24/7 with young people dancing and music and pride parades and speeches from volunteers and community leaders. This should be 24/7 Jerry Lewis telethon style.

Seriously? The more content they create, the more likely they are to do something to fuck up their lead. The GOP is waiting for a major gaffe or fuckup to jump all over. Get some young idiots on the platform at 4:00 am saying some stupid shit, and suddenly that is an official statement from the Biden campaign. Not to mention, who the fuck wants more content from the DNC? I follow politics closer than probably 90-95% of the population, and I've watched maybe a total of 30 minutes of this pointless dog and pony show. The less I see, the easier it is to vote for Biden without having to think about who and what I am actually voting for. I'll focus on Trump when I vote. I did love Michelle Obama's speech, though. She fucking crushed it. And the bigger point, the more content you put out, you are just watering down the important stuff you actually want people to see.

[DSafetyGuy]

Ah, to stick it to Trump youd do it.

Most of the people involved in the production aren't in the DNC, they're just hired by the DNC. They might happen to be OK working for them like DSafe's company presumably is, but it's still just a job so no, no one's gonna work an extra few hours on an already 12-16 hour day because Trump.

Overtime, including multipliers for short time off the clock and meal penalties, really mucks up your budget.

And these things are boring enough that the last thing they need would be to run out less pertinent people and entertainers.

[P.D.X.]

How about the simple, tried-and-true concept that primetime = the most eyeballs.

[Shirley]

Of course, if they actually wanted more eyeballs, maybe they'd have more of their popular and dynamic members speak instead of a steady stream of less popular old Democrats and Republicans.

[Nonlinear FC]

As someone who has worked and attended conventions, the notion of actually making them somehow longer is hilarious.

The best thing they could've done is start the heavy hitter shit at 9pm ET and just go for a tight 60 each night. Very few people are going to sit through this shit on the east coast going up til midnight or whatever. But ppl in the other time zones are (mostly) able to tune in at a slightly earlier time.

That's really my beef with it. And it's not a big deal. You're either the type of person that chooses to watch a convention over Netflix or you're not.

[A_B]

As someone who has worked and attended conventions, the notion of actually making them somehow longer is hilarious.

The best thing they could've done is start the heavy hitter shit at 9pm ET and just go for a tight 60 each night. Very few people are going to sit through this shit on the east coast going up til midnight or whatever. But ppl in the other time zones are (mostly) able to tune in at a slightly earlier time.

That's really my beef with it. And it's not a big deal. You're either the type of person that chooses to watch a convention over Netflix or you're not.

Great first date weeding question.

[P.D.X.]

I watched last night (for I think the first time ever). I didn't know I had to sit through pop music interludes... I'm out.

[govmentchedda]

I watched last night (for I think the first time ever). I didn't know I had to sit through pop music interludes... I'm out.

I think it's country music tonight.

[P.D.X.]

I may check in on the RNC though. That shit is gonna be bonkers.

[Nonlinear FC]

I picture just a bunch of the NRA youtube shows (now on their "network") for 2 hours.

[Giff]

Stuttering kid >> kid in MAGA hat

[psunate77]

So Susan Rice said yesterday that she is 100% sure Russia is going to rig the election. It really got me thinking is she right or is she trying to distract that they think Biden is going to lose out right.

ABC/CNN had Biden at 261 EV and Trump at like 130 or 140 as of what they know now. Biden needs 9 votes to win with Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Wisky, and Michigan still up for grabs. But as the guy who name escapes me on MSNBC said, Biden may not win one of those states and that could be very very likely.

[mister d]

I think it’s in the middle; they know election security is intentionally lacking leaving the door open.

[degenerasian]

So Susan Rice said yesterday that she is 100% sure Russia is going to rig the election. It really got me thinking is she right or is she trying to distract that they think Biden is going to lose out right.

ABC/CNN had Biden at 261 EV and Trump at like 130 or 140 as of what they know now. Biden needs 9 votes to win with Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Wisky, and Michigan still up for grabs. But as the guy who name escapes me on MSNBC said, Biden may not win one of those states and that could be very very likely.

What are the 261 states? are any of them at risk?

[psunate77]

So Susan Rice said yesterday that she is 100% sure Russia is going to rig the election. It really got me thinking is she right or is she trying to distract that they think Biden is going to lose out right.

ABC/CNN had Biden at 261 EV and Trump at like 130 or 140 as of what they know now. Biden needs 9 votes to win with Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Wisky, and Michigan still up for grabs. But as the guy who name escapes me on MSNBC said, Biden may not win one of those states and that could be very very likely.

What are the 261 states? are any of them at risk?

The states that counted for Biden had him I think with a 5+ point lead, PA was one of them. I am not sure PA is a clear Biden win. Clinton was up by 9 points at this time in 2016 and lost. Trump was in Scranton yesterday and had a medium size crowd. One thing I am worried about, Biden isn't scheduling any rallies due to covid and Trump has them scheduled in battle ground states.

[L-Jam3]

As per 270towin.com on 8/18:

183 Biden Safe:
HI, WA, OR, CA, IL, DC, NY, NJ, MA, CT, RI, DE, MD, VT, ME-1

Another 29 at Biden Likely:
CO, NM, VA

Assuming he has them, he needs 58 from (only listing Lean or Toss-up)
Leans: NV, MN, WI, MI, PA, NH

Toss-up:
AZ, NE-2, OH, NC, GA, FL, ME-2

Basically don't take the foot off the gas like Hilary did.

[psunate77]

Muhlenberg only has Biden with a 4 point lead in PA

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aug2020election/

[degenerasian]

So Susan Rice said yesterday that she is 100% sure Russia is going to rig the election. It really got me thinking is she right or is she trying to distract that they think Biden is going to lose out right.

ABC/CNN had Biden at 261 EV and Trump at like 130 or 140 as of what they know now. Biden needs 9 votes to win with Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Wisky, and Michigan still up for grabs. But as the guy who name escapes me on MSNBC said, Biden may not win one of those states and that could be very very likely.

What are the 261 states? are any of them at risk?

The states that counted for Biden had him I think with a 5+ point lead, PA was one of them. I am not sure PA is a clear Biden win. Clinton was up by 9 points at this time in 2016 and lost. Trump was in Scranton yesterday and had a medium size crowd. One thing I am worried about, Biden isn't scheduling any rallies due to covid and Trump has them scheduled in battle ground states.

In 2016, Trump campaigned like a madman in the final weeks. Now with mail-in voting he is going earlier. Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous energy.

[L-Jam3]

In 2016, Trump campaigned like a madman in the final weeks. Now with mail-in voting he is going earlier. Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous Adderall.

FIFY

[degenerasian]

In 2016, Trump campaigned like a madman in the final weeks. Now with mail-in voting he is going earlier. Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous Adderall.

FIFY

sure whatever is it, he's out there.

[tennbengal]

In 2016, Trump campaigned like a madman in the final weeks. Now with mail-in voting he is going earlier. Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous Adderall.

FIFY

sure whatever is it, he's out there.

Oh for fuckssake. Anytime he tries to go out, it's a disaster of late. His crowds are small, and they are unmasked so he is probably killing them. Get the fuck off of stormfront and fox.

[sancarlos]

Pissed off Bengal is always entertaining.


Unless he's pissed off at me.

[Steve of phpBB]

So Susan Rice said yesterday that she is 100% sure Russia is going to rig the election. It really got me thinking is she right or is she trying to distract that they think Biden is going to lose out right.

ABC/CNN had Biden at 261 EV and Trump at like 130 or 140 as of what they know now. Biden needs 9 votes to win with Arizona, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, Ohio, Wisky, and Michigan still up for grabs. But as the guy who name escapes me on MSNBC said, Biden may not win one of those states and that could be very very likely.

I think Biden will win Florida, Arizona, and Michigan out of those.

Based on this list (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... html#polls), Clinton was at 45-36 in Pennsylvania in the first week of August, which was a week or so after the Dem convention. Then there were no polls for three weeks, and then at the end of August she averaged +5, 46-41.

Right now Biden is at 50% in Penn, with a six-point lead. And he just showed himself to not be the Sleepy Hiding-In-A-Basement Joe that Trump has been ranting about for months.

I think unless Jim Comey drops a bombshell news story a week before the election that the FBI has come across emails that aren't his on a laptop that isn't his, Biden will hold Pennsylvania.

[P.D.X.]

Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous energy.

do you really believe that

[degenerasian]

Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous energy.

do you really believe that

Not really but I'm worried like psunate77 is that Trump will do a lot of rallies. I hope they fail but who knows.

[Steve of phpBB]

Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous energy.

do you really believe that

Not really but I'm worried like psunate77 is that Trump will do a lot of rallies. I hope they fail but who knows.

At this point, is there evidence that Trump benefits from being in the public eye more often?

The reason he came back so well from the Access Hollywood tape is that after a couple of days, he STFU, and the media got bored and went on to something equally devastating (Hillary tripped once, or her foundation paid for a Nobel winner's travel, or emails).

[DSafetyGuy]

In 2016, Trump campaigned like a madman in the final weeks. Now with mail-in voting he is going earlier. Say what you want about Trump, he has tremendous Adderall.

FIFY

It amuses me greatly that Noel Casler has over 200K followers, mostly on the back of this (I've known him for years through work).

[Johnnie]

Looks like Glenn Weiss directed the DNC from in his living room. Barefoot.



(Not sure when to stop posting in this thread and use the other one exclusively.)

[sancarlos]

Stuttering kid >> kid in MAGA hat

So, I see the Maga hat kid has a speaking slot at the Republican convention. What can he add to the show? That Dems on social media and the Washington Post were mean to him after he acted like a prick? What can he say to help Trump or hurt Biden? Guess we’ll see.

[psunate77]

Apparently Trump was texting his staff members all night during the DNC telling them what he wanted at the RNC. So we will probably see it look somewhat like the DNC.

[Johnnie]

Stuttering kid >> kid in MAGA hat

So, I see the Maga hat kid has a speaking slot at the Republican convention. What can he add to the show? That Dems on social media and the Washington Post were mean to him after he acted like a prick? What can he say to help Trump or hurt Biden? Guess we’ll see.

Considering the kid got absolutely paid in settlements, he can reinforce that the media is truly anti-conservative and certainly fake news.

[A_B]

Stuttering kid >> kid in MAGA hat

So, I see the Maga hat kid has a speaking slot at the Republican convention. What can he add to the show? That Dems on social media and the Washington Post were mean to him after he acted like a prick? What can he say to help Trump or hurt Biden? Guess we’ll see.

Considering the kid got absolutely paid in settlements, he can reinforce that the media is truly anti-conservative and certainly fake news.

He’s only getting some small fraction of that even if the big number is what got reported. I’d have to find the article but it isn’t going to be anywhere near what they publicized.

[L-Jam3]

This is what you were looking for, AB:

[Johnnie]

Well, millions of people - like me - who didn't know that won't know that going into his speaking engagement. So, propaganda wins again.

[Pruitt]

Fuck that fucking kid and the world he lives in.

[DSafetyGuy]

Well, millions of people - like me - who didn't know that won't know that going into his speaking engagement. So, propaganda wins again.

Kid probably has to adherer to a non-disclosure agreement, so he (his parents) will have to be veeeerrrrry careful about what he does.

[DSafetyGuy]

Looks like Glenn Weiss directed the DNC from in his living room. Barefoot.

Holla at ya boy, Gunpowder. Nice!