Election Week 2020

Okay . . . let's try this again.

Moderators: Shirley, Sabo, brian, rass, DaveInSeattle

Post Reply
User avatar
A_B
The Dude
Posts: 24195
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:36 am
Location: Getting them boards like a wolf in the chicken pen.

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by A_B »

This is bad real bad. FFS.
My gall is sufficiently mitigated. Thank you for your concern.
User avatar
mister d
The Dude
Posts: 30600
Joined: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:15 am

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by mister d »

The thing is, it’s really not yet? There’s massive uncounted and no metrics on early versus today. It feels bad because they’re all making us feel bad and that was always going to be the plan for tonight. Calling Biden was the only way to lose eyes.
Johnnie wrote: Sat Sep 10, 2022 8:13 pmOh shit, you just reminded me about toilet paper.
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

Just switched over to watch Taxi. Nothing gonna happen for awhile. Biden still OK if they count all the votes in MI/WI/PA.
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
A_B
The Dude
Posts: 24195
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:36 am
Location: Getting them boards like a wolf in the chicken pen.

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by A_B »

mister d wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:43 pm The thing is, it’s really not yet? There’s massive uncounted and no metrics on early versus today. It feels bad because they’re all making us feel bad and that was always going to be the plan for tonight. Calling Biden was the only way to lose eyes.
You may be right but the uncounted percentages Im seeing doesnt look promising. Good news is winning one of arizona/PA might do it but it won't be within the realm of non-dispute.
My gall is sufficiently mitigated. Thank you for your concern.
tennbengal
The Dude
Posts: 12409
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:07 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by tennbengal »

Hope so. Just did a massive purge on my twitter timeline. Muted a fuckton of words. Unfollowed a lot of accounts. If it doesn't have to do with sports or the weather, it got the ziggy.
User avatar
mister d
The Dude
Posts: 30600
Joined: Tue Mar 12, 2013 8:15 am

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by mister d »

At some point we probably either give up polling and choose to rely on demographic projections or we hold bad polls accountable.
Johnnie wrote: Sat Sep 10, 2022 8:13 pmOh shit, you just reminded me about toilet paper.
tennbengal
The Dude
Posts: 12409
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:07 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by tennbengal »

mister d wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:46 pm At some point we probably either give up polling and relying on demographic projections or we hold bad polls accountable.
Just need to stop polling. Altho they won't. It's an industry. And, if you don't poll, can you ever really know about a vote count? Or even if you should question a vote count?
User avatar
A_B
The Dude
Posts: 24195
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:36 am
Location: Getting them boards like a wolf in the chicken pen.

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by A_B »

mister d wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:46 pm At some point we probably either give up polling and choose to rely on demographic projections or we hold bad polls accountable.
I'm moving to a hobbit hole in new zealand.
My gall is sufficiently mitigated. Thank you for your concern.
User avatar
rass
The Dude
Posts: 21110
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:41 am
Location: N effin' J

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by rass »

A_B wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:49 pm
mister d wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:46 pm At some point we probably either give up polling and choose to rely on demographic projections or we hold bad polls accountable.
I'm moving to a hobbit hole in new zealand.
Did you switch to Five Armies, too? Other than Legolas airwalking, not as bad as I had remembered.
I felt aswirl with warm secretions.
Johnnie
The Dude
Posts: 17565
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:31 pm
Location: TUCSON, BITCH!

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Johnnie »

mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
User avatar
phxgators
Bunny Lebowski
Posts: 648
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:19 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by phxgators »

tennbengal wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:46 pm Hope so. Just did a massive purge on my twitter timeline. Muted a fuckton of words. Unfollowed a lot of accounts. If it doesn't have to do with sports or the weather, it got the ziggy.
Cleared some local stuff out just after Hickenlooper and Buck were named winners. I still have some others I follow, but if Biden can't pull this out I'm tuning everything out for a while.
User avatar
A_B
The Dude
Posts: 24195
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:36 am
Location: Getting them boards like a wolf in the chicken pen.

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by A_B »

rass wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:52 pm
A_B wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:49 pm
mister d wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:46 pm At some point we probably either give up polling and choose to rely on demographic projections or we hold bad polls accountable.
I'm moving to a hobbit hole in new zealand.
Did you switch to Five Armies, too? Other than Legolas airwalking, not as bad as I had remembered.
I like them all. Just entertain me i guess.
My gall is sufficiently mitigated. Thank you for your concern.
User avatar
The Sybian
The Dude
Posts: 19707
Joined: Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:36 am
Location: Working in the Crap Part of Jersey

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by The Sybian »

How were the polls so far off in the South Carolina Senate race? For weeks, polls were showing Graham neck and neck with Harrison, and it's looking like Graham is winning by +10.
An honest to God cult of personality - formed around a failed steak salesman.
-Pruitt
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

There’s hot and then there was early 80s Marilu Henner hot.
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
Johnnie
The Dude
Posts: 17565
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:31 pm
Location: TUCSON, BITCH!

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Johnnie »

The Sybian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:08 pm How were the polls so far off in the South Carolina Senate race? For weeks, polls were showing Graham neck and neck with Harrison, and it's looking like Graham is winning by +10.
The entire polling industry needs to be burned to the ground.

What a seriously false sense of reality that shit is.

Make me queasy for the remaining states.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

Arizona goes for Biden.
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
Steve of phpBB
The Dude
Posts: 9144
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 10:44 am
Location: Feeling gravity's pull

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Steve of phpBB »

brian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:23 pm Arizona goes for Biden.
According to Fox anyway, right?

Isn’t Biden also leading in that one district in NE? If those hold, he needs two out of MI/WI/PA.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
User avatar
Steve of phpBB
The Dude
Posts: 9144
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 10:44 am
Location: Feeling gravity's pull

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Steve of phpBB »

The Sybian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:08 pm How were the polls so far off in the South Carolina Senate race? For weeks, polls were showing Graham neck and neck with Harrison, and it's looking like Graham is winning by +10.
Obviously we won’t know for a while. Maybe Rs really were afraid to declare for Trump. Or maybe it’s about the weighting.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

I don’t think NC is out of play until all votes are counted too.
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
degenerasian
The Dude
Posts: 12633
Joined: Tue Mar 12, 2013 12:22 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by degenerasian »

Mark Kelly really helped Biden in Arizona, wouldn't be shocked to see him take a run in a future Presidential election.
Kung Fu movies are like porn. There's 1 on 1, then 2 on 1, then a group scene..
tennbengal
The Dude
Posts: 12409
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:07 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by tennbengal »

Steve of phpBB wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:27 pm
brian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:23 pm Arizona goes for Biden.
According to Fox anyway, right?

Isn’t Biden also leading in that one district in NE? If those hold, he needs two out of MI/WI/PA.
Please god.
User avatar
L-Jam3
The Dude
Posts: 6603
Joined: Wed Mar 13, 2013 8:43 am

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by L-Jam3 »

brian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:29 pm I don’t think NC is out of play until all votes are counted too.
FWIW, Roy Cooper (D) won re-election for governor in NC. That’s a good sign.
My avatar corresponds on my place in the Swamp posting list with the all-time Home Run list. Number 45 is Paul Konerko with 439.
User avatar
EdRomero
Donny
Posts: 2472
Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2014 9:39 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by EdRomero »

This isn't getting decided anytime soon. I feel like an idiot deciding to watch this tonight and even following this shit at all for years.
User avatar
A_B
The Dude
Posts: 24195
Joined: Mon Mar 11, 2013 7:36 am
Location: Getting them boards like a wolf in the chicken pen.

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by A_B »

EdRomero wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:35 pm This isn't getting decided anytime soon. I feel like an idiot deciding to watch this tonight and even following this shit at all for years.
Yeah im going to bed. I wont get to sleep but i am going to bed.
My gall is sufficiently mitigated. Thank you for your concern.
User avatar
L-Jam3
The Dude
Posts: 6603
Joined: Wed Mar 13, 2013 8:43 am

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by L-Jam3 »

I’m giving it until 2:30. Same as last time. I’m not nearly drinking as much since last time.
My avatar corresponds on my place in the Swamp posting list with the all-time Home Run list. Number 45 is Paul Konerko with 439.
User avatar
EdRomero
Donny
Posts: 2472
Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2014 9:39 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by EdRomero »

A_B wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:38 pm
EdRomero wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:35 pm This isn't getting decided anytime soon. I feel like an idiot deciding to watch this tonight and even following this shit at all for years.
Yeah im going to bed. I wont get to sleep but i am going to bed.
Yeah that's my plan. Going to bed and not sleeping. Maybe for the rest of the week:


User avatar
DaveInSeattle
The Dude
Posts: 8988
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 5:51 am
Location: Seattle, WA

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by DaveInSeattle »

phxgators wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:46 pm This belongs in another thread, really, but whatever. I haven't really talked about this with many people but I quit drinking almost 4 months ago. It was becoming a problem, more mentally than physically, but still a problem. Tonight is the first night in a while I've wanted to have a drink so bad. So... I'm stress eating leftover Halloween candy instead.
Good on ya. I stopped drinking (mostly) about a month ago, to see if it was causing my reflux issues. And I've been really surprised just how much better, in general, I feel.

I did have a glass of wine with dinner tonight though...but that was because I made a really nice roast chicken, roasted potatoes, and asparagus dinner. It called for a glass of red wine.
Johnnie
The Dude
Posts: 17565
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:31 pm
Location: TUCSON, BITCH!

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Johnnie »

degenerasian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:29 pm Mark Kelly really helped Biden in Arizona, wouldn't be shocked to see him take a run in a future Presidential election.
Disgracing John McCain may have also had something to do with it too.

That set off Arizonans.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

Who the hell knows really, but it still looks good in PA and MI for Biden if you assume that the lion's share of early/absentee/mail-in votes were for Biden as was true in other states. If so, as long as all those votes are allowed to be counted that could be the ballgame.
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

Also, re: NC. The law there allows ballots to be received for several days as long as they're postmarked by today.

Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

This scenario is possible as well and could cause some sleepless nights worrying about Electoral College chicanery if the count is 270-268.

Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
Johnnie
The Dude
Posts: 17565
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:31 pm
Location: TUCSON, BITCH!

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Johnnie »

brian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:50 pm This scenario is possible as well and could cause some sleepless nights worrying about Electoral College chicanery if the count is 270-268.

I was just talking about this with a friend. This scenario would be so 2020 if 269-269 weren't also plausible.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
User avatar
The Sybian
The Dude
Posts: 19707
Joined: Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:36 am
Location: Working in the Crap Part of Jersey

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by The Sybian »

I'm shockingly calm. I was freaking the fuck out in 2016, watching all the polls, obsessively watching all the needles on the NYTimes page, drinking... This year, I know I can't do anything and I have a weird sense of calm. Maybe it's the passing of legalized weed in NJ to numb the pain.
An honest to God cult of personality - formed around a failed steak salesman.
-Pruitt
tennbengal
The Dude
Posts: 12409
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:07 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by tennbengal »

Is there any reason NE-2 isn’t called yet?
User avatar
bfj
Walter Sobchak
Posts: 4181
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 11:08 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by bfj »

I’ve put the phone away 3 times and tried for sleep. It ain’t working.
BFJ is the town wizard who runs a magic shop. He also has a golem that he has trained to attack anti-Semites.
tennbengal
The Dude
Posts: 12409
Joined: Wed Apr 17, 2013 7:07 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by tennbengal »

So wisc and Michigan would get it done?
Johnnie
The Dude
Posts: 17565
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:31 pm
Location: TUCSON, BITCH!

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by Johnnie »

tennbengal wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:00 am So wisc and Michigan would get it done?
And NE-2 since AZ went blue.

ETA

Last edited by Johnnie on Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
User avatar
bfj
Walter Sobchak
Posts: 4181
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 11:08 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by bfj »

brian wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:15 pm There’s hot and then there was early 80s Marilu Henner hot.

Image
BFJ is the town wizard who runs a magic shop. He also has a golem that he has trained to attack anti-Semites.
User avatar
brian
The Dude
Posts: 28713
Joined: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:52 am
Location: Ryugyong Hotel; Pyongyang

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by brian »

I mean, right?
Bandwagon fan of the 2023 STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS!
User avatar
bfj
Walter Sobchak
Posts: 4181
Joined: Mon Apr 01, 2013 11:08 pm

Re: Election Day 2020

Post by bfj »

brian wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:04 amI mean, right?
No doubt. Loved me some Elaine Nardo.
BFJ is the town wizard who runs a magic shop. He also has a golem that he has trained to attack anti-Semites.
Post Reply