Election Week 2020
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- The Dude
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Re: Election Week 2020
They've changed it - you have to put whoever you want on your "foe" list and their posts are automatically hidden, apparently.
http://www.sportsfrog.net/phpbb/app.php/help/faq#f6r0
http://www.sportsfrog.net/phpbb/app.php/help/faq#f6r0
- DSafetyGuy
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Re: Election Week 2020
This is correct.tennbengal wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 7:41 pm They've changed it - you have to put whoever you want on your "foe" list and their posts are automatically hidden, apparently.
http://www.sportsfrog.net/phpbb/app.php/help/faq#f6r0
“All I'm sayin' is, he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.”
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Re: Election Week 2020
"beautiful, with an exotic-yet-familiar facial structure and an arresting gaze."
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Re: Election Week 2020
Good morning, and welcome to Day 11 of Election Week.
The remaining networks have all called AZ for Biden, so it really does look like he will get that historic landslide blowout magic number of 306.
The remaining networks have all called AZ for Biden, so it really does look like he will get that historic landslide blowout magic number of 306.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
Re: Election Week 2020
The process definitely changed and its still not a fail-safe because I'm not perpetually logged in.tennbengal wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 7:37 pmAs god is my witness, I can't figure out how I did it. But it must be possible, because he's on ignore. As was DC47 back in the day.
Re: Election Week 2020
Damon Young of The Root offers conciliation:
My avatar corresponds on my place in the Swamp posting list with the all-time Home Run list. Number 45 is Paul Konerko with 439.
- DaveInSeattle
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Re: Election Day 2020
Re: Election Week 2020
where's nate
- DaveInSeattle
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Re: Election Week 2020
I can't stand Meghan McCain, but this is funny.
An honest to God cult of personality - formed around a failed steak salesman.
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Re: Election Week 2020
As a future Arizonan, 🤣🤣🤣.
My Arizona friends and I use this as a meme between each other:
My Arizona friends and I use this as a meme between each other:
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
Re: Election Week 2020
Georgia officially called for Biden.
ETA
ETA2
Manchester
ETA
ETA2
Manchester
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
Re: Election Week 2020
Now Trump.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
Re: Election Week 2020
I did a stats:
If you add up the total votes that every current senator (not including the two GA seats) got during their most recent election:
50 Republican Senators - 62,340,508
48 Democrat Senators - 78,722,954
(Dems got 58% of the vote in their wins. GOP got 55% in theirs. The Dem percentage probably should be a bit higher because California's general election had no Republican candidates on the ballot)
"Hey bad stats guy," you say, "that's probably pretty skewed towards the GOP since it was mostly their seats that were at stake this year when turnout was so high. Why don't you run the numbers again, normalizing each state's turnout to 2020?"
50 R - 70,602,678
48 D - 96,597,301 (!)
___________________________________
OK, back to blind analysis. Since we don't have a 2022 election thread, here are the Dems that are currently expected to be defending their seat:
AZ - Kelly
CA - (Harris seat)
CO - Bennet
CT - Blumenthal
HI - Schatz
IL - Duckworth
MD - Van Hollen
NV - Masto
NH - Hassan
NY - Schumer
OR - Wyden
VT - Leahy
WA - Murray
Obviously a lot can happen in 2 years, but where are the potential GOP pickups? Hassan won by like 1000 votes and either a returning Ayotte or Gov. Sununu could be a problem, but NH's getting bluer by the day. I'd put Kelly, Bennet, and Masto in similar buckets. Elected by narrow margins but the demographics tilt their way. Everything else is a non-starter barring a catastrophe, right?
A sampling of risky GOP seats at stake:
NC - Burr (retiring)
PA - Toomey (retiring)
WI - Johnson
MO - Blunt
FL - Rubio??
IN - Young??
If you add up the total votes that every current senator (not including the two GA seats) got during their most recent election:
50 Republican Senators - 62,340,508
48 Democrat Senators - 78,722,954
(Dems got 58% of the vote in their wins. GOP got 55% in theirs. The Dem percentage probably should be a bit higher because California's general election had no Republican candidates on the ballot)
"Hey bad stats guy," you say, "that's probably pretty skewed towards the GOP since it was mostly their seats that were at stake this year when turnout was so high. Why don't you run the numbers again, normalizing each state's turnout to 2020?"
50 R - 70,602,678
48 D - 96,597,301 (!)
___________________________________
OK, back to blind analysis. Since we don't have a 2022 election thread, here are the Dems that are currently expected to be defending their seat:
AZ - Kelly
CA - (Harris seat)
CO - Bennet
CT - Blumenthal
HI - Schatz
IL - Duckworth
MD - Van Hollen
NV - Masto
NH - Hassan
NY - Schumer
OR - Wyden
VT - Leahy
WA - Murray
Obviously a lot can happen in 2 years, but where are the potential GOP pickups? Hassan won by like 1000 votes and either a returning Ayotte or Gov. Sununu could be a problem, but NH's getting bluer by the day. I'd put Kelly, Bennet, and Masto in similar buckets. Elected by narrow margins but the demographics tilt their way. Everything else is a non-starter barring a catastrophe, right?
A sampling of risky GOP seats at stake:
NC - Burr (retiring)
PA - Toomey (retiring)
WI - Johnson
MO - Blunt
FL - Rubio??
IN - Young??
he’s a fixbking cyborg or some shit. The
holy fuckbAllZ, what a ducking nightmare. Holy shot. Just, fuck. The
holy fuckbAllZ, what a ducking nightmare. Holy shot. Just, fuck. The
Re: Election Week 2020
Good stuff Turd. If you ever get tired of cartography, you should see if Nate Silver is hiring.
"What a bunch of pedantic pricks." - sybian
Re: Election Week 2020
Masto would be dead nuts safe if not for Dems propensity for shitting bed in off-year elections with Dem in presidency. She’s very popular nationally and in NV especially with Latinos. Remind them she’s the first Latina ever in the Senate and that will firm up the LatinX vote in NV.
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- Steve of phpBB
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Re: Election Week 2020
If Covid is truly behind us and people feel like the economy has recovered, then the Dems should be fine in 2022. But we were in a very similar position twelve years ago, and things didn’t turn out so great in 2010.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
- Square Rob
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Re: Election Week 2020
Just waiting for the tea party redux after a stimulus is passed for covid relief.
- Brontoburglar
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Re: Election Week 2020
Roy Blunt's seat is exceptionally safe in Missouri. We went Trump +16 and Democrats only put up a fight statewide in the governor's race.
ETA: Missouri has trended red quickly because of the growth of the Springfield area. KC and StL are no longer the two (only) dominant metro areas. The southwest part of the state is basically just a giant blob of white evangelical suburbia now.
ETA: Missouri has trended red quickly because of the growth of the Springfield area. KC and StL are no longer the two (only) dominant metro areas. The southwest part of the state is basically just a giant blob of white evangelical suburbia now.
"We're not the smartest people in the world. We go down the straightaway and turn left. That's literally what we do." -- Clint Bowyer
Re: Election Week 2020
Brontoburglar wrote: ↑Tue Nov 17, 2020 8:38 am Roy Blunt's seat is exceptionally safe in Missouri. We went Trump +16 and Democrats only put up a fight statewide in the governor's race.
ETA: Missouri has trended red quickly because of the growth of the Springfield area. KC and StL are no longer the two (only) dominant metro areas. The southwest part of the state is basically just a giant blob of white evangelical suburbia now.
Totally Kafkaesque
Re: Election Week 2020
Still astounds me that this many people voted for Trump.
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national ... te-tracker?
I feel like the vast majority are just Republicans that can hold their nose for someone so vile and thus any person running for president with a "-R" would get this much or more, but man. It's really sad.
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national ... te-tracker?
I feel like the vast majority are just Republicans that can hold their nose for someone so vile and thus any person running for president with a "-R" would get this much or more, but man. It's really sad.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
- DSafetyGuy
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Re: Election Week 2020
The county where my dad and a significant number of my extended family live in Ohio had an increase in their percentage of Trump voters since 2016 (80% --> 82.3%).Johnnie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 4:26 pm Still astounds me that this many people voted for Trump.
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national ... te-tracker?
I feel like the vast majority are just Republicans that can hold their nose for someone so vile and thus any person running for president with a "-R" would get this much or more, but man. It's really sad.
“All I'm sayin' is, he comes near me, I'll put him in the wall.”
Re: Election Week 2020
This random Reddit poster likens Trump to Tyler Durden and it actually makes complete sense. (Placed in spoiler tag because it's kind of a big post.)DSafetyGuy wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 4:45 pmThe county where my dad and a significant number of my extended family live in Ohio had an increase in their percentage of Trump voters since 2016 (80% --> 82.3%).Johnnie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 4:26 pm Still astounds me that this many people voted for Trump.
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national ... te-tracker?
I feel like the vast majority are just Republicans that can hold their nose for someone so vile and thus any person running for president with a "-R" would get this much or more, but man. It's really sad.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
Re: Election Week 2020
And a spoiler, for a 20+ year old movie:
My avatar corresponds on my place in the Swamp posting list with the all-time Home Run list. Number 45 is Paul Konerko with 439.
Re: Election Week 2020
Emily Murphy will be questioned by Katie Porter today (hopefully).
Some past highlights:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRdB2c ... yuPbWfOZyw
Some past highlights:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRdB2c ... yuPbWfOZyw
- Steve of phpBB
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Re: Election Week 2020
According to https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker, Biden's vote count has now gone past 80 million.
His lead is up to 6.15 million.
His lead is up to 6.15 million.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
- Steve of phpBB
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Re: Election Week 2020
Also, Pennsylvania has certified its results.
Biden beat Trump by a little more than 80,000. Jorgenson got 79,380.
Biden beat Trump by a little more than 80,000. Jorgenson got 79,380.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
Re: Election Week 2020
Why didn't Trump just attack California and New York's elections? It's not like the margins were close enough anywhere for a granular approach to work anyway. One of his biggest problems was that Pennsylvania/Michigan/Georgia/Arizona were prepared for the shitshow because they saw it coming. Their bureaucrats learned lessons from prior close elections. Meanwhile, NY stopped caring about the quality of its elections years ago and I'm not sure CA is much better. And it's easy to sell the GOP on a broadside attack on NY and CA. I'm beginning to think this Trump guy is not the brightest.
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Re: Election Week 2020
I dunno. I don't think it was totally insane for Trump to think that the Republicans in charge of those states *might* use their power, illegally, quasi-legally, and potentially legally, to throw their states' electoral votes to Trump. Democrats are in charge of NY and CA, so no way.Rex wrote: ↑Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:01 pm Why didn't Trump just attack California and New York's elections? It's not like the margins were close enough anywhere for a granular approach to work anyway. One of his biggest problems was that Pennsylvania/Michigan/Georgia/Arizona were prepared for the shitshow because they saw it coming. Their bureaucrats learned lessons from prior close elections. Meanwhile, NY stopped caring about the quality of its elections years ago and I'm not sure CA is much better. And it's easy to sell the GOP on a broadside attack on NY and CA. I'm beginning to think this Trump guy is not the brightest.
If it had come down to one of those four states, it's quite possible they would have gone through with some bullshit to throw the election to Trump.
Thank god for those 43,000 votes out of 160 million cast.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: Election Week 2020
NY just dumped a bunch of absentee/early ballot results.
Biden's popular vote total is now over 81 million and his lead is 6.9 million.
Pretty nice.
Biden's popular vote total is now over 81 million and his lead is 6.9 million.
Pretty nice.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
Re: Election Week 2020
Holy shit he won by 1.01 Jorgs!Steve of phpBB wrote: ↑Tue Nov 24, 2020 11:44 am Also, Pennsylvania has certified its results.
Biden beat Trump by a little more than 80,000. Jorgenson got 79,380.
Pack a vest for your james in the city of intercourse
Re: Election Week 2020
So has there been a definitive article written yet about the true effect of the ratfucking of the Post Office and its influence in the election?
Or is it just swept under the umbrella of "people voted so soon that dismantling high speed sorters didn't matter. Nice try, DeJoy."
Because, man, those couple months leading up to the election were doom and gloom, cataclysmic, earth is ending level media coverage and it seems like a while bunch of people were able to vote without issue.
Or is it just swept under the umbrella of "people voted so soon that dismantling high speed sorters didn't matter. Nice try, DeJoy."
Because, man, those couple months leading up to the election were doom and gloom, cataclysmic, earth is ending level media coverage and it seems like a while bunch of people were able to vote without issue.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
- Steve of phpBB
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Re: Election Week 2020
Yeah but to be fair, every issue leading up to the election was like that. Remember when Trump was going to cancel the election? Or right-wingers were going to shoot up polling places where Blacks were voting?
I do think that once the dust settles, we'll find that the Post Office did ratfuck the election in certain places. There were stories about a bunch of undelivered ballots in Palm Beach County - since Florida didn't allow counting of ballots that arrived after Election Day, I don't think they were counted. And while I don't think it was enough to affect the Biden vs Trump race, it's conceivable that undelivered ballots could have affected a close Congressional race or local race.
(Edit to clarify - I do think that the freakout level of coverage of the mail issue probably helped alleviate the potential problem, because it was enough to break through the din and prompt folks to either deliver ballots in person or mail them early enough to arrive in time.)
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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Re: Election Week 2020
Agree with everything Steve said, especially the coverage helping alleviate the problem. Just wanted to add that we may never know the extent, as DeJoy actively obstructed the court's efforts to ascertain the extent of fuckery. I don't have time to pull the quotes, but in court, on the day DeJoy was required to provide information, he said something to the effect that he didn't realize the very clear court order requiring him to provide proof that they didn't hide ballots actually required him to inspect facilities and make sure they weren't hiding ballots.Steve of phpBB wrote: ↑Fri Dec 04, 2020 10:40 amYeah but to be fair, every issue leading up to the election was like that. Remember when Trump was going to cancel the election? Or right-wingers were going to shoot up polling places where Blacks were voting?
I do think that once the dust settles, we'll find that the Post Office did ratfuck the election in certain places. There were stories about a bunch of undelivered ballots in Palm Beach County - since Florida didn't allow counting of ballots that arrived after Election Day, I don't think they were counted. And while I don't think it was enough to affect the Biden vs Trump race, it's conceivable that undelivered ballots could have affected a close Congressional race or local race.
(Edit to clarify - I do think that the freakout level of coverage of the mail issue probably helped alleviate the potential problem, because it was enough to break through the din and prompt folks to either deliver ballots in person or mail them early enough to arrive in time.)
An honest to God cult of personality - formed around a failed steak salesman.
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Re: Election Week 2020
We also probably lucked out that, even with a willing Senate and stacked SCOTUS, this administration seems to have proven itself too incompetent to properly cheat.
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Re: Election Week 2020
Elite Strike Force!
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Re: Election Week 2020
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.