Re: Not so funny real life Capt Trips thread
Posted: Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:58 am
That’s unreal. On both levels. That’s just one beach. That’s an amazing lack of privacy that we all just live with.
It's the sixth version of The Swamp. What could possibly go wrong?
http://www.sportsfrog.net/phpbb/
A significant part of China's containment efforts were based on the ridiculous extent to which they were able to track their population through popular smartphone apps. Essentially the Chinese government assigned massive numbers of people in Hubei Province a risk level based on their known contacts and movements and then refined their quarantine strategy by following the movements of those people. In this case that technology was used for a good purpose, but it's pretty dystopian how little privacy people have from their governments.tennbengal wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:58 am That’s unreal. On both levels. That’s just one beach. That’s an amazing lack of privacy that we all just live with.
OTOH, Trump said NYC doesn't need more ventilators, so [insert meme cartoon of dog in house on fire] everything is fine!Nonlinear FC wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 8:45 am Hopkins soccer alumni email chain, many of them doctors up in NY... Scary shit. Nothing you haven't read on here, but hearing those guys talk about ventilators and stuff. Somehow makes it hit home a little more.
Pruitt wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 8:27 am Boris Johnson
Although this guy is such a lying, conniving P.O.S., I wouldn't be surprised if he was making this up for political gain. Or (less cynically) to lead by example.
Now that’s funny. (I followed the last UK election just enough to get the Johnson-fridge reference.)Baloney wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:57 amPruitt wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 8:27 am Boris Johnson
Although this guy is such a lying, conniving P.O.S., I wouldn't be surprised if he was making this up for political gain. Or (less cynically) to lead by example.
I filled up this morning. 61.9!!!Pruitt wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:34 am Toronto is closed.
Libraries, day cares, schools, universities, city offices. Mayor is in self-isolation.
My big fear is that the municipal courses won;t open if the city workers are still off next month.
On a happier note, gas is now 83 cents a litre. Which is the equivalent of $3.15 Canadian per one of your gallons. (or about $2.40 US)
Last week gas was $1.19 per litre.
I think it has a lot to do with where and when the outbreaks happened. The US is big, so mostly spread our cases over a lot of hospitals with a lot of capacity. Italy was hit hard in a relatively small region and the system got overwhelmed. They couldn't treat people, so their death rate is much higher. This is probably true in Spain as well. I also suspect their healthcare system probably isn't as good as ours or Germany's.Joe K wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:13 pm Has anyone read a good explanation for why the reported death rate varies so much by country? I'm looking at the Johns Hopkins dataset, and among the five countries with the most cases, the current death rate (deaths/confirmed cases) is as follows:
USA - 1.5%
China - 4.0%
Italy - 10.2%
Spain - 7.5%
Germany - 0.6%
I know there's probably a lot of variance among countries with respect to accuracy of reporting, testing rates and demographics. But if the US is significantly under-testing, which we all think is true, than our actual death rate would me a lot lower than 1.5% and perhaps closer to Germany's. So what explains the huge disparity between USA/Germany and Italy/Spain?
Yes and the US, for all it's shortages, still has enough tools to control the outbreak, at this point. But it seems now is the breaking point. As cases grow, I could see that number growing as resources run out and choices have to be made. Expect the US to finish around 5% once it's over.Shirley wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:12 amI think it has a lot to do with where and when the outbreaks happened. The US is big, so mostly spread our cases over a lot of hospitals with a lot of capacity. Italy was hit hard in a relatively small region and the system got overwhelmed. They couldn't treat people, so their death rate is much higher. This is probably true in Spain as well. I also suspect their healthcare system probably isn't as good as ours or Germany's.Joe K wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:13 pm Has anyone read a good explanation for why the reported death rate varies so much by country? I'm looking at the Johns Hopkins dataset, and among the five countries with the most cases, the current death rate (deaths/confirmed cases) is as follows:
USA - 1.5%
China - 4.0%
Italy - 10.2%
Spain - 7.5%
Germany - 0.6%
I know there's probably a lot of variance among countries with respect to accuracy of reporting, testing rates and demographics. But if the US is significantly under-testing, which we all think is true, than our actual death rate would me a lot lower than 1.5% and perhaps closer to Germany's. So what explains the huge disparity between USA/Germany and Italy/Spain?
I don't think a genetic marker for Italians makes any sense. Populations aren't nearly that isolated or genetically different.
This is a big factor. South Korea was testing damned near everybody, so lots of asymptomatic or mild symptoms people are getting tested, where in they aren't getting tested.
Right, but by all accounts there aren't many asymptomatic or mild-symptom cases being tested in the U.S. If there were, the death rate gap between us and Italy/Spain would be even larger. Italy has a relatively old and relatively dense population, but it's also known to have high quality healthcare. Which makes the massive gap in death rate between Italy and Germany/US puzzling to me.The Sybian wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:52 amThis is a big factor. South Korea was testing damned near everybody, so lots of asymptomatic or mild symptoms people are getting tested, where in they aren't getting tested.
I don't know the testing rates in Italy and Spain, I was just making a point as to why the US will have a much higher fatality rate than South Korea. I think high numbers of smokers in Italy doesn't help when the virus gets into peoples lungs. I also think they live in more densely populated areas and tend to shop at large central markets. They hug and kiss to greet people... I thought the US being more spread out and less touchy-feely would have helped. Then again, if you take out NYC and NJ, the virus hasn't spread as badly as I expected. I assume proximity to NYC and number of commuters in NYC is the reason NJ is so badly hit. Some of the more rural counties aren't see much spread.Joe K wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:57 amRight, but by all accounts there aren't many asymptomatic or mild-symptom cases being tested in the U.S. If there were, the death rate gap between us and Italy/Spain would be even larger. Italy has a relatively old and relatively dense population, but it's also known to have high quality healthcare. Which makes the massive gap in death rate between Italy and Germany/US puzzling to me.The Sybian wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:52 amThis is a big factor. South Korea was testing damned near everybody, so lots of asymptomatic or mild symptoms people are getting tested, where in they aren't getting tested.
Sure, happens all the time. Leagues have been fining for years for saying words. Free agent "tampering", criticizing a league and/or refereeing, various slurs, etc. This is a stretch of the concept but hardly a new one.
Wasn't there going to be some scale back of overbearing punishments when the new CBA was being negotiated according to people years ago because "protecting the shield" means you can take things too far? So did the NFLPA just not even try to argue that recently? I mean, in light of this damn virus saying something like "this sounds like a bad idea" being meet with a fine makes me scratch my head.Rams Fanny wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 12:41 pmSure, happens all the time. Leagues have been fining for years for saying words. Free agent "tampering", criticizing a league and/or refereeing, various slurs, etc. This is a stretch of the concept but hardly a new one.
67 cents now.degenerasian wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 11:03 amI filled up this morning. 61.9!!!Pruitt wrote: ↑Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:34 am Toronto is closed.
Libraries, day cares, schools, universities, city offices. Mayor is in self-isolation.
My big fear is that the municipal courses won;t open if the city workers are still off next month.
On a happier note, gas is now 83 cents a litre. Which is the equivalent of $3.15 Canadian per one of your gallons. (or about $2.40 US)
Last week gas was $1.19 per litre.
Your Governor should have said nice things about Trump...
He’s a man so Trump probably not interested in taking him on on social media.The Sybian wrote: ↑Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:26 pmYour Governor should have said nice things about Trump...
A couple days ago I saw a former coworker post a pic of a friend who just died from COVID. Guy in his mid 50s. Seen a bunch of others testing positive.