The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Okay . . . let's try this again.

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degenerasian
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by degenerasian »

P.D.X. wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2024 2:31 pm That’s what ‘draw no bet’ is for.
Yes but then odds are too low.

Draws happen alot and are +170 to +200. So I only have be right around 1 out of 3 times.
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Nonlinear FC
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by Nonlinear FC »

MI beat Indiana today 70-67.

From a betting standpoint... Indiana was +3 and the score was 70 - 64 after some late "extending the game" fouling and free throw making. MI makes a pair free throws to get to the 6 point spread with about 2.5 seconds left on the clock. To the point that MI players are basically walking off the court.

Indiana dude takes the in bounds, dribbles twice, and then drains a shot from easily 30 feet away.

70-67... It's a push.

Glad I forgot to take that bet this morning. That would've been pretty annoying.
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EnochRoot
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by EnochRoot »

So right now $1000 on the Red Sox to win the WS is good for $21,000. They're currently +2000. The AL is down this year, and BOS is full of upside in that lineup.
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degenerasian
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by degenerasian »

EnochRoot wrote: Fri Mar 14, 2025 4:59 pm So right now $1000 on the Red Sox to win the WS is good for $21,000. They're currently +2000. The AL is down this year, and BOS is full of upside in that lineup.
+700 to win the AL might be the better bet. The NL is too strong, can't see the Red Sox beating the Dodgers, Mets, Phillies or Braves.
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EnochRoot
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by EnochRoot »

degenerasian wrote: Fri Mar 14, 2025 6:27 pm
EnochRoot wrote: Fri Mar 14, 2025 4:59 pm So right now $1000 on the Red Sox to win the WS is good for $21,000. They're currently +2000. The AL is down this year, and BOS is full of upside in that lineup.
+700 to win the AL might be the better bet. The NL is too strong, can't see the Red Sox beating the Dodgers, Mets, Phillies or Braves.
It's actually +900 according to Draftkings. I think anyway.
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Nonlinear FC
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Re: The Swamp Can Resume its Gambling Problem

Post by Nonlinear FC »

Just found a fun betting play on the MI board I frequent. You put a wager on every underdog team with +100 on the Moneyline. Subtract out the 16 seed if you want to better your odds.

Going back to 2016, it has made money every time, except for 2017 when the tournament was almost complete chalk in the first round. And with the way NIL and the portal have flattened things out, highly unlikely to see chalk like that again.

(BTW, as some of you guys probably know, Colo St. is something like -115 or something as a 12 seed.)
You can lead a horse to fish, but you can't fish out a horse.
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