The Swamp

The Sybian wrote: Mon Jan 06, 2025 6:38 pm I've been seeing a lot of clips of Kevin O'Leary on Fox and other RW outlets spouting some wacky shit. Either he's lost it, or he has a serious play to get something out of Trump, because man is he publicly slobbering all over Trump.

He's been at it for a few years chasing clout, doesn't seem to be working

degenerasian wrote: Tue Apr 01, 2025 10:30 am

Lead is getting bigger. Going to be a landslide on the 28th.

https://338canada.com/alberta.htm

Liberals projected tp win in 7 ridings in Alberta? That would be a record (the previous best is 4 in 1968). And that would surely be a Liberal landslide.

degenerasian wrote: Sat Apr 19, 2025 11:02 am https://338canada.com/alberta.htm

Liberals projected tp win in 7 ridings in Alberta? That would be a record (the previous best is 4 in 1968). And that would surely be a Liberal landslide.

Can't help but feel like the results aren't going to match the projections. There's just so little riding-level polling, so it's all just applying national and provincial polls, then adjusted to ridings based on historical data. The good ones know what they're doing obviously, but sitting here in deeply conservative rural Nova Scotia and seeing the projections say the Liberals will sweep Atlantic Canada... feels like there's potential for some error there. Probably what you might be feeling in Alberta too I'm guessing.

Live feed for election night, does it work for you guys?

First polls reporting in my riding...



Again, I'll be (pleasantly) surprised if my riding, or many rural ridings, switches to Liberal. Felt good to vote in a close race though.

Doesn't seem like they're counting particularly fast out east this evening...

looks like the Bloc Québécois once again failing to win support in any of the other provinces

Also https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/electio ... results/#/

First 20 ridings called so far all going to incumbents except for 1 (flipped to conservative).

Looking like a bit better than expected night for conservatives. Gonna come down to what happens in Ontario.

If the Liberal Party gets a plurality but not a majority, would one of the other parties join a coalition? Or would the others favor the Conservatives?

Steve of phpBB wrote: Mon Apr 28, 2025 8:05 pm If the Liberal Party gets a plurality but not a majority, would one of the other parties join a coalition? Or would the others favor the Conservatives?

Last government was that case, with Liberals where NDP kept liberals from being defeated in the house in exchange for certain policies. I think the price would be pretty high for their support again, seeing as how the NDP party got nothing for it politically. There is really no party that the conservatives can court, it's basically majority or bust for them.

travzilla wrote: Mon Apr 28, 2025 8:08 pm

Steve of phpBB wrote: Mon Apr 28, 2025 8:05 pm If the Liberal Party gets a plurality but not a majority, would one of the other parties join a coalition? Or would the others favor the Conservatives?

Last government was that case, with Liberals where NDP kept liberals from being defeated in the house in exchange for certain policies. I think the price would be pretty high for their support again, seeing as how the NDP party got nothing for it politically. There is really no party that the conservatives can court, it's basically majority or bust for them.

NDP should have toppled the Trudeau govt in Nov.

You would have gotten the conservatives in November. Better that it didn’t happen.

sancarlos wrote: Mon Apr 28, 2025 8:29 pm You would have gotten the conservatives in November. Better that it didn’t happen.

You might still get the conservatives tonight with no NDP

The counting really starts now, 266 ridings closed at 9:30 ET

Will be interesting to see if this is a constant rightward shift from NDP to libs and libs to Cons.

Crazy to think... Kamala wins 6 months ago and this is a very gloomy night in Canada.

It's suddenly close again, conservatives over performing in Toronto

That said, Pollievre is down 1300 votes in his own riding. This would be the greatest collapse ever.

3 seats short of a majority. I guess you could say there was a lot riding on every riding