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Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:26 pm
by psunate77
WOW.. Biden is under performing Hillary in Miami-Dade County by 10%?
That is not good at all.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:28 pm
by A_B
HaulCitgo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:08 pmAB sold out
If you fuckers pull this shit again tonight I fucking swear
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:35 pm
by Steve of phpBB
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:23 pm
Looks like early not great news on Biden getting florida. But the good news is he doesn't need it. Bad news is it puts more emphasis on NC and Georgia. Miami/Dade early numbers dump pretty bad news apparently.
This is one place where I think BLM hurts Dems.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
by tennbengal
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:51 pm
by psunate77
McConnell declared the winner over McGrath
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
by A_B
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
But Joe is pulling three extra percent from most counties right now. Isn’t that enough?
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
by Gunpowder
psunate77 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:26 pm
WOW.. Biden is under performing Hillary in Miami-Dade County by 10%?
That is not good at all.
When I was out and about in the streetz during the Town Hall the Trump side of the street was about 3x as full as the Biden side so not a huge surprise.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:55 pm
by tennbengal
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
But Joe is pulling three extra percent from most counties right now. Isn’t that enough?
To win Florida? No, apparently, due to Dade. How much did Trump win Floriday by in 2016? I don't want to look.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:59 pm
by psunate77
Trump wins South Carolina
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:00 pm
by EdRomero
Lincoln Project putting out ads threatening Republican state leaders in Florida, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and more that they'll be caught cheating to help Trump win.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:01 pm
by tennbengal
I guess this is good news for rest of country, but I don't really believe it is good news I guess.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:02 pm
by A_B
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:55 pm
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
But Joe is pulling three extra percent from most counties right now. Isn’t that enough?
To win Florida? No, apparently, due to Dade. How much did Trump win Floriday by in 2016? I don't want to look.
1.2
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:05 pm
by tennbengal
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:02 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:55 pm
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
But Joe is pulling three extra percent from most counties right now. Isn’t that enough?
To win Florida? No, apparently, due to Dade. How much did Trump win Floriday by in 2016? I don't want to look.
1.2
Oh. Fuck.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:07 pm
by A_B
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:05 pm
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:02 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:55 pm
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:54 pm
tennbengal wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:50 pm
Florida, ,as usual, puts me in an I hate everything mood.
But Joe is pulling three extra percent from most counties right now. Isn’t that enough?
To win Florida? No, apparently, due to Dade. How much did Trump win Floriday by in 2016? I don't want to look.
1.2
It’s gonna be a fucking nightmare
Oh. Fuck.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:07 pm
by Steve of phpBB
The big question is whether the FL results should make us think Biden will lose PA or even NC. If it’s just the Cubans, maybe not?
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:09 pm
by Gunpowder
Steve of phpBB wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:07 pm
The big question is whether the FL results should make us think Biden will lose PA or even NC. If it’s just the Cubans, maybe not?
Mark Cuban is from Pittsburgh so that could put PA in doubt as well
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:11 pm
by psunate77
Biden wins Illinois, Connecticut, Maryland, D.C, New Jersey, and Rhode Island.
Trump wins Oklahoma and Tennessee
Florida expected to be called for Trump soon.. Killer for Biden
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:11 pm
by tennbengal
Steve of phpBB wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:07 pm
The big question is whether the FL results should make us think Biden will lose PA or even NC. If it’s just the Cubans, maybe not?
That's the hope, but electoral PTSD makes me suspicious.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:14 pm
by mister d
Silver had Florida +2.5 for Biden.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:19 pm
by psunate77
Trump wins Alabama and Missisippi..
How long before he declares himself the winner?
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:23 pm
by A_B
mister d wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:14 pm
Silver had Florida +2.5 for Biden.
Yeah it’s bad.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:26 pm
by mister d
89% -> 66% on that alone.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:29 pm
by psunate77
NYT had Biden as the favorite in NC, but now has it a total tossup.. If Biden loses NC, it could be game.. set..match
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:37 pm
by A_B
mister d wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:26 pm
89% -> 66% on that alone.
North Carolina looks good though?
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:37 pm
by psunate77
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:37 pm
mister d wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:26 pm
89% -> 66% on that alone.
North Carolina looks good though?
Don't be too sure.. NYT now gives DT a 57% of winning NC.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:40 pm
by EdRomero
A_B wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:37 pm
mister d wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:26 pm
89% -> 66% on that alone.
North Carolina looks good though?
The lead might be due to early counting of mail in. However Ohio may be good
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:41 pm
by psunate77
People need to stop listening to polls...
From Nate Silver..
"The Democratic Senate candidate in North Carolina, Cal Cunningham, is running a net of about 2 points worse than Biden there. After Cunningham’s sexting scandal, polls were all over the place in terms of how Biden and Cunningham lined up, but that’s not great for Cunningham in a state where a Biden win would likely be pretty close."
Cunningham loss would be devastating..
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:54 pm
by tennbengal
Good news in ohio would be quite unexpected.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:57 pm
by tennbengal
Tuesday, Nov 3, 2020 · 8:56:13 PM EST · Mark Sumner
With 73% of the vote in, Biden continues to hold a 4% edge in North Carolina. On the map there are not a lot of red rural counties still outstanding. However, it’s not so much geographic data that’s missing, it’s chronological. Three quarters of the vote that has been counted so far has been early vote. It’s still difficult to tell whether Biden’s early vote totals will hold up as the remaining 27% of vote, almost all of it Election Day vote, is added in.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:59 pm
by tennbengal
But I am sure that will play out poorly.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:12 pm
by mister d
Can we all same-team this and no one quote Paterno’s boy tonight? It’s nice to see the small empty row when I scroll.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:14 pm
by tennbengal
Since he's been on ignore from me for two months, yes please.
Tuesday, Nov 3, 2020 · 9:10:35 PM EST · Mark Sumner
North Carolina is up to 77%, Biden’s lead is down to 3%, but the remaining votes seem to be about equally split between blue and red counties. Still a big shrug.
Biden’s edge in Ohio is down to 6%, but there are still a lot of votes left in blue counties, and unlike other states, Ohio is not heavily weighted by early votes.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:14 pm
by brian
mister d wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:12 pm
Can we all same-team this and no one quote Paterno’s boy tonight? It’s nice to see the small empty row when I scroll.
Same.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:17 pm
by tennbengal
Seems bad:
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
·
51s
At the moment we've got Trump favored in Georgia by 4 and North Carolina by about a point.
If you look at the results by method, you can see why: the eday vote is great for Trump and that's what's left in NC, in particular
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:18 pm
by Gunpowder
I hope Biden wins Texas. Trumpism needs to be punished by "remember that time you fucked up and lost fucking TEXAS?"
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:24 pm
by brian
Trying to stay positive but so glad I sold my house right now.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:26 pm
by tennbengal
brian wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:24 pm
Trying to stay positive but so glad I sold my house right now.
So jealous.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:30 pm
by HaulCitgo
Georgia seems dead. Just feels off
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:31 pm
by Johnnie
Small bit of good news.
Re: Election Day 2020
Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:32 pm
by tennbengal
HaulCitgo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:30 pm
Georgia seems dead.
Just feels off
yes