The Swamp

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:07 am**

I know all of you are still a little down in the dumps after the Yankees were eliminated, but it's time to turn the page. I think the Astros can do this, in fact I will pick them to win in 5.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:49 am**

I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:58 am**

mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.

they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:01 am**

Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:03 am**

degenerasian wrote:
mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.

they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.

Skip Sunday, play game 5 Monday, skip Halloween, hope for a game 7 and smush the Jets/Bills game.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:28 am**

rass wrote:
degenerasian wrote:
mister d wrote:I can't think of many completely avoidable idiotic decisions than scheduling a clincher for a 5:00 Halloween start on the west coast.

they have no choice these days, World Series for the longest time was S-S/T-W-R/S-S
now football is killing them sunday and thursday nights so they must go T-W/F-S-S/T-W

I think a handful of games have been played on Halloween, no clinchers yet.

Skip Sunday, play game 5 Monday, skip Halloween, hope for a game 7 and smush the Jets/Bills game.

and mess with the great Monday and Thursday tv lineup on FOX!?

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:55 am**

mister d wrote:Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.

Prior to a series starting, what are the mathematical likelihoods of the series going each potential length?

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 11:00 am**

DSafetyGuy wrote:
mister d wrote:Game 6 is automatically a clincher, whether or not one clinches.

Prior to a series starting, what are the mathematical likelihoods of the series going each potential length?

Betting markets do this for every series, but their odds are "inefficient" since they don't add up to 100 percent (so they can get their cut). Kinda hoped WhoWins might have something like that (and maybe they do), but I couldn't find it.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 11:07 am**

I just went ahead and did it myself with the data there. So historically in the history of all four major sports it looks like this.

Series ended after:

4 games - 215 of 1319 (16.30 percent)
5 games - 341 of 1319 (25.85 percent)
6 games - 418 of 1319 (31.69 percent)
7 games - 345 of 1319 (26.16 percent)

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 11:13 am**

I did a 50/50 calc and came up with a 62.5% chance of a series going atleast 6 games.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 1:14 pm**

So, third straight year that the World Series is guaranteed to end one team's 29+ year drought?

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 2:30 pm**

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 3:08 pm**

Quick, someone name a famous dead three year old.

Posted: **Mon Oct 23, 2017 3:12 pm**

Barbaro

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 5:37 am**

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 4:54 pm**

mister d wrote:Quick, someone name a famous dead three year old.

Only a d bag Yankees fan would find dead three year olds funny.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 5:31 pm**

Buddy, either don't give me the setup or ask your team to win enough titles to cross over the "LOL dead person" threshold.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 5:32 pm**

mister d wrote:Buddy, either don't give me the setup or ask your team to win enough titles to cross over the "LOL dead person" threshold.

I’ve asked. They don’t listen.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 7:26 pm**

That's on me! This is the thread!

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 7:50 pm**

Dammit AB.

Kershaw may have this on lock. 5 Ks through three and one seeing eye single. Was wondering if he had a perfect game looming with the way his stuff is looking.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:00 pm**

I jinxed him.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:01 pm**

TB jinx

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:21 pm**

Altho 9 Ks through five innings is pretty good.

1-1 middle of five - really pretty damn fine baseball game so far...

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:21 pm**

Bregman forecasts as a really good player who "whites of a certain type" are going to like a bit too much.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:21 pm**

tennbengal wrote:Altho 9 Ks through five innings is pretty good.

1-1 middle of five - really pretty damn fine baseball game so far...

Hour and ten minutes! Love it!

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:26 pm**

I'm curious how long the starters stay in this game if they keep cruising like this. I'm thinking Hinch lets Keuchel throw 100+ pitches but the Dodgers' pen has been so untouchable that Kershaw may be out sooner.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:27 pm**

The ghost of Larry King hovering over every batter close-up is what makes this game.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:47 pm**

The yeti with another huge homerun.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:59 pm**

Probably in the minority here, but I'd take Kershaw out now. Morrow and Jansen have been awesome and with Kershaw under 85 pitches you could potentially bring him back in Game 4 if Houston wins Games 2 and 3.

Posted: **Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:06 pm**

Joe K wrote:Probably in the minority here, but I'd take Kershaw out now. Morrow and Jansen have been awesome and with Kershaw under 85 pitches you could potentially bring him back in Game 4 if Houston wins Games 2 and 3.

I talked myself into this as it was happening.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:41 am**

I only watched a couple innings, but was that Mary Hart behind home plate too?

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:52 am**

SO I didn't notice the perfect youtube ad, but it pissed a lot of people off!

https://twitter.com/MinicarPics164/stat ... 2596539392

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:53 am**

Ryan wrote:I only watched a couple innings, but was that Mary Hart behind home plate too?

ONly had ten minutes to spare, huh?

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:25 am**

Two (mainly) bad pitches by Keuchel. Still optimistic with Verlander on the mound tonight.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:42 am**

I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:56 am**

tennbengal wrote:I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.

Pre-stroke, hopefully.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:58 am**

Giff wrote:
tennbengal wrote:I'm just gonna pretend tonight is JR Richard v. Don Sutton.

Pre-stroke, hopefully.

1979 JR Richard. Unreal year. Richard from 1976-1979 was unreal.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:08 pm**

After that Vin entrance, Verlander is screwed.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:13 pm**

Other than Koufax coming out (and i bet his arm is as shot as Scully's) the only thing that would have been better would have been Lasorda coming out to take the ball from him.

Posted: **Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:11 pm**

This is fun!

The Swamp

2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault

Re: 2017 World Series: From the NL West Vault