The Swamp

Match 31- Senegal WIN $100
Match 34- Uruguay WIN $100

Match 34 - $20 on Uruguay
Match 36 - $160 on Spain

Match 30: $600 on England

Match 30: 300 on England

All of it on Spain to beat Morocco.

AB is what the casinos call “a whale” gambler. In the movie he was played by Clark Gable.

degenerasian wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 6:14 pm
Match 34 Uruguay 8/2 DRAW 21/10 Russia 21/10

Are you sure about Uruguay's odds here? Seems pretty high.

Pruitt wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 10:45 pm

degenerasian wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 6:14 pm
Match 34 Uruguay 8/2 DRAW 21/10 Russia 21/10

Are you sure about Uruguay's odds here? Seems pretty high.

Sorry that should 8/5. Edited above.

Those that took Uruguay please adjust accordingly.

degenerasian wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 11:06 pm

Pruitt wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 10:45 pm

degenerasian wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 6:14 pm
Match 34 Uruguay 8/2 DRAW 21/10 Russia 21/10

Are you sure about Uruguay's odds here? Seems pretty high.

Sorry that should 8/5. Edited above.

Those that took Uruguay please adjust accordingly.

Cancel my Uruguay pick. I was trying to hedge my prior bet on Russia to win the group, but probably not worth it at the correct odds.

MATCH 33 - $20 Egypt

Match 33 - $50 on Egypt
Match 35 - $50 on Portugal

Match 35 - $300 Portugal

MATCH 35 - $40 Portugal

bookies made a killing today

My Spain bet sure is looking still alive.

degenerasian wrote: ↑Mon Jun 25, 2018 3:10 pm bookies made a killing today

It occurs to me that with 3 possible outcomes in every game, bookies should be able to make killings quite regularly in soccer.

Is that necessarily true given that often times all 3 of the picks are >+$100?

last 8 group matches

Match 41 Mexico 29/20 DRAW 23/10 Sweden 11/5
Match 42 South Korea 16/1 DRAW 13/2 Germany 1/5
Match 43 Serbia 13/2 DRAW 7/2 Brazil 1/2
Match 44 Switzerland 8/11 DRAW 12/5 Costa Rica 11/2
Match 45 Japan 8/5 DRAW 21/10 Poland 21/20
Match 46 Senegal 17/5 DRAW 13/5 Colombia 10/11
Match 47 England 7/4 DRAW 11/5 Belgium 19/10
Match 48 Panama 7/2 DRAW 11/4 Tunisia 17/20

Spreadsheet updated. Let me know if I missed anything.

Match 43: $215.40 on Brazil. Go big or go home.

mister d wrote: ↑Mon Jun 25, 2018 4:18 pm Is that necessarily true given that often times all 3 of the picks are >+$100?

My head hurts... but I leave it to the bookies to figure it out.

MATCH 38 - $40 France

Oh, say, boys! Can any of you tell me of any of us who has made at least three match bets and has won them all?

Asking for a friend.

Match 44: Switzerland WIN $100
Match 46: Senegal WIN $100
Match 47: Eng/Bel DRAW $200
Match 48: Tunisia WIN $200

Match 41 - $25 Draw

Match 43 - $50 Brazil

Match 44 - $55 Switzerland

Match 41: $20 on Sweden
Match 42: $600 on Germany
Match 43: $20 on Draw
Match 44: $20 on Switzerland
Match 45: $20 on Japan
Match 46: $20 on Draw
Match 47: $50 on Belgium
Match 48: $20 on Tunisia

I have money again! Now how to blow it.

Match 46: $323.10 (or whatever the max I have available) on Colombia to win.

MATCH 47 - $10 Draw

Joe K wrote: ↑Wed Jun 27, 2018 3:45 pm Match 46: $323.10 (or whatever the max I have available) on Colombia to win.

suddenly Joe K has the most money

Fucking Germans.

degenerasian wrote: ↑Thu Jun 28, 2018 11:55 am

Joe K wrote: ↑Wed Jun 27, 2018 3:45 pm Match 46: $323.10 (or whatever the max I have available) on Colombia to win.

suddenly Joe K has the most money

After my string of misses (ties make soccer betting a lot harder), I decided to go all-in on Brazil and Colombia. Colombia had a tough one today but I really liked their chances to beat Senegal in a must-win situation. Felt they were undervalued by the odds after a fluky loss to Japan where they had to play a man down basically the whole way.

Spreadsheet updated after the group stage. Let me know if I missed anything.

To Win Championship market is open again until France-Argentina kicks off
Brazil 7/2, Spain 4/1, Belgium 13/2, England 15/2, France 8/1, Croatia 10/1, Argentina 12/1, Uruguay 22/1
Colombia 22/1, Portugal 25/1, Switzerland 33/1, Mexico 66/1, Russia 66/1, Sweden 66/1, Denmark 80/1, Japan 125/1

For matches, you can now also bet who will advance to the next round

Match 49:
90 minutes - France 29/20 DRAW 2/1 Argentina 5/2
To Advance - France 4/6 Argentina 11/10

Match 50:
90 minutes - Uruguay 9/5 DRAW 2/1 Portugal 2/1
To Advance - Uruguay 4/5 Portugal 19/20

Match 51:
90 minutes - Spain 8/13 DRAW 29/10 Russia 11/2
To Advance - Spain 1/4 Russia 11/4

Match 52:
90 minutes - Croatia 9/10 DRAW 23/10 Denmark 21/5
To Advance - Croatia 2/5 Denmark 7/4

.

I’ll go with $50 each on Belgium, England, Uruguay and Switzerland to win the tournament.

I’ll also put $50 on Russia to advance over Spain.

Match 51 - $50 Spain win in 90

Match 52 - $50 Croatia win in 90

$25 on Mexico to win the tournament

Match 49: $50 on France to win in 90 minutes
Match 50: $25 on Portugal to win in 90 minutes
Match 51: $50 on Spain to win in 90 minutes
Match 52: $100 on Croatia to advance

Match 51: $300 on Spain to win in 90 minutes.

49 - $30 France to advance

Match 49 Fra/Arg DRAW $50
Match 50 Uru win in 90 $100

Sneaking in just before kickoff to put $40 on Argentina to beat France in regulation.

Spreadsheet updated after the group stage. Let me know if I missed anything.

Match 53:
90 minutes - Brazil 1/2 DRAW 16/5 Mexico 7/1
To Advance - Brazil 2/9 Mexico 3/1

Match 54:
90 minutes - Belgium 2/5 DRAW 15/4 Japan 9/1
To Advance - Belgium 1/6 Japan 4/1

Match 55:
90 minutes - Sweden 21/10 DRAW 2/1 Switzerland 17/10
To Advance - Sweden 1/1 Switzerland 3/4

Match 56:
90 minutes - Colombia 3/1 DRAW 23/10 England 11/10
To Advance - Colombia 6/4 England 1/2

.