2018 Midterm Elections
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Good fucking riddance Barbara comstock.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
VA-10 flips to Dems. Officially +1 tonight.
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- Nonlinear FC
- The Dude
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- A_B
- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Well over half KY06 in and Barr down almost 10k. 5 percentage points.
Strike that. down to 1 point margin.
Strike that. down to 1 point margin.
Hold on, I'm trying to see if Jack London ever gets this fire built or not.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
NYT has her up 600 votes, but that's with all of Madison Co. in and 20 percent of Fayette still out there. I don't know shit about KY but that seems promising still.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Looks like she's gonna win Fayette County by about 25K and it might not be enough.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
- A_B
- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Yeah that’s kinda what I’m seeing too
Hold on, I'm trying to see if Jack London ever gets this fire built or not.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Doesn’t look like it’s gonna happen for her. She’s a tough lady though. Can share a foxhole with me any day. Was hoping for an early pickup there with her to maybe help me not sweat as much tonight.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
538 dropped the Democrats taking the house from 94% to 67%. WTF.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
- degenerasian
- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
It would be crazy if the Dems lost both house and Senate but Beto won.
Kung Fu movies are like porn. There's 1 on 1, then 2 on 1, then a group scene..
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Just moved to 50/50.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Just saw that. WTF.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Fuck all this.
- Nonlinear FC
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Not a conspiracy guy, but wrf
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
I know what’s happening. The republic is dead.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Seriously down to 39%? How?
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Whoever controls how the votes are counted is the power. And all the levers are controlled by the minority to preserve the minority.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
This is somehow worse than two years ago.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
5 in 9 for Dems right now
NATHANIEL RAKICH8:27 PM
You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.
"What a bunch of pedantic pricks." - sybian
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
It’s not gonna happen. This country is done. Combination of voting suppression and outright voter theft and racism. I can’t take this anymore.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
I was just about to quote this. The PREEMINENT election forecaster lets his odds move when an 83% chance moves to called? JFC.sancarlos wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:29 pm 5 in 9 for Dems right now
NATHANIEL RAKICH8:27 PM
You may have noticed that our real-time forecast has moved toward Republicans in the House. It’s being too aggressive, in my opinion. The model sees that a bunch of “likely Republican” districts (particularly in Florida) are now 100 percent likely to go red. But there hasn’t been the chance for Democrats to clinch many equivalent likely Democratic districts.
- Steve of phpBB
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
This is correct.
And his one problem is he didn’t go to Russia that night because he had extracurricular activities, and they froze to death.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
This truly isn’t my country. I am a stranger here.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Yeah pretty sure I’m deleting social media tonight. Good Lord.
well this is gonna be someone's new signature - bronto
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- The Dude
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- A_B
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
NYT showing 13 toss up/rep lean races as democratic leads at moment, and california has several republican held tossups. I guess I don't see this as over yet?
Hold on, I'm trying to see if Jack London ever gets this fire built or not.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
This country wants a fascist daddy to protect it against shoeless immigrants I guess. So be it.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
It’s not. But it’s at best close. Pelosi already signaling attempts to be “bi-partisan” IF they squeak out a majority, which is useless against a dictator. Dem leadership still doesn’t know how to resist. And that’s the best case scenario.
- Square Rob
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
So, my great fear has been that Dem’s win back the house, and sometime in the next 12 months the stock market crashes due to the deficit drag and djt and the gop scream to the heavens that it’s the dem’s fault. Trump rides that to a near victory in his re-election campaign over surprise candidate Sherrod brown. Dems don’t gain any ground in a more favorable senate map, and gop has control for a decade.
Just saying that, because, well, fuck.
Just saying that, because, well, fuck.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Blackburn wins Tennessee. So much for Taylor Swift.
mister d wrote:Couldn't have pegged me better.
EnochRoot wrote:I mean, whatever. Johnnie's all hot cuz I ride him.
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- The Dude
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
If Brat indeed lost in Richmond, va, that makes up a little for McGrath coming up short.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
I will say this. Looks like Beto is going to lose narrowly tonight and I hope he announces he’s running for President tomorrow.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
If I added up this model correctly, his current +25 was a 17% chance. At some point either polling/projection is broken or the vote counts themselves are.
- The Sybian
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
100% with you. Well, not sure about the Sherrod Brown part, but the rest of it. Even if the GOP holds both Houses, they will still blame obstructionist Dems for every failure.Square Rob wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:03 pm So, my great fear has been that Dem’s win back the house, and sometime in the next 12 months the stock market crashes due to the deficit drag and djt and the gop scream to the heavens that it’s the dem’s fault. Trump rides that to a near victory in his re-election campaign over surprise candidate Sherrod brown. Dems don’t gain any ground in a more favorable senate map, and gop has control for a decade.
Just saying that, because, well, fuck.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
A small bit of good news tonight. And maybe a hopeful sign for Florida, 2020.
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Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
Why am I not seeing anyone question how that referendum passes in Florida, for an early call, while it appears a race-baiting R will win governor?
Last edited by mister d on Tue Nov 06, 2018 9:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: 2018 Midterm Elections
I see a lot of people lamenting the Dems not winning the Senate but that shit was never happening.
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- The Dude
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